Do I ship it?

GamesTriviaTrivia + Detective

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Detective Trivia game?

Trivia + Detective

Only 19 developers shipped a Detective Trivia game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 探岛海龟汤, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 2060% on the market; 6 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 2060% on the market, 6 announced, ×0.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trivia + Detective
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $1.1k → $1.9k → $60 → $12k → $2.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trivia + Detective: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,194)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,315)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $32,967)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 42
Announced 6
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2060% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring
Detective
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Trivia; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Word Game, Adventure
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 404 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trivia with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local Co-OpFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.3k · 8 announced
  3. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 10 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  5. + MysteryFair20 devs · median $748 · 11 announced
  6. + Choices MatterFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + InvestigationLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot14 devs · median $120 · 7 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $9.0k · 22 announced
  10. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  11. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds14 devs · median $1.7k · 12 announced
  12. + SimulationPoor odds36 devs · median $1.3k · 21 announced

All 45 pairs on the Trivia page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
你已经猜到结局了吗 older $7.99 388 92% 12k $93k (exactly $93,004) 橘音
Chinatown Detective Agency older $24.99 119 70% 3.6k $89k (exactly $89,214) General Interactive Co.
探岛海龟汤 $9.99 110 71% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) 探岛工作室
Lianhai Casino older $8.99 81 91% 2.4k $22k (exactly $21,846) 致意
The Angel's Devil Tail - One More Question 2 $9.99 70 91% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) 橘音
MAELSTROM LEGACY: The Tesla Mystery $10.99 36 69% 1.1k $12k (exactly $11,869) Wistfulware
Idiom Royale $1.99 91 63% 2.7k $5.4k (exactly $5,433) NyxWorks
Logic - Keypad older $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) NguyeZ
CipherMind $7.99 18 77% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Pigeon Games
Logic Escape older $6.99 20 90% 600 $4.2k (exactly $4,194) NguyeZ
Trailmarks $8.99 12 91% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Trailmarks HQ
One More Question $7.99 12 100% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) OrangeSounds
Couch Detective · EA $4.99 19 57% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Gamtropy
Guess the Flag! $3.99 16 93% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Source Byte
Brainrot: Animal Quizzes $1.99 20 90% 600 $1.2k (exactly $1,194) Sahur

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.