Do I ship it?

Games › Trivia › Trivia + Mystery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Trivia game?

Trivia + Mystery

Of 20 developers who shipped a Mystery Trivia game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 4155% on the market; 11 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 4155% on the market, 11 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trivia + Mystery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $0 → $30 → $11k → $150 (still earning) → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trivia + Mystery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,573)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $32,967)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 41
Announced 11
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4155% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring
Mystery
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Trivia; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Hand-drawn
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 376 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $750, 1 in 4 over $8.5k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trivia with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local Co-OpFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.3k · 8 announced
  3. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 10 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  5. + DetectiveFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 6 announced
  6. + Choices MatterFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + InvestigationLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot14 devs · median $120 · 7 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $9.0k · 22 announced
  10. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  11. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds14 devs · median $1.7k · 12 announced
  12. + SimulationPoor odds36 devs · median $1.3k · 21 announced

All 45 pairs on the Trivia page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

你已经猜到结局了吗 2022 · $93k Chinatown Detective Agency 2022 · $89k 探岛海龟汤 2025 · $33k The Angel's Devil Tail - One More Question 2 2026 · $21k MAELSTROM LEGACY: The Tesla Mystery 2025 · $12k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
你已经猜到结局了吗 older $7.99 388 92% 12k $93k (exactly $93,004) 橘音
Chinatown Detective Agency older $24.99 119 70% 3.6k $89k (exactly $89,214) General Interactive Co.
探岛海龟汤 $9.99 110 71% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) 探岛工作室
The Angel's Devil Tail - One More Question 2 $9.99 70 91% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) 橘音
MAELSTROM LEGACY: The Tesla Mystery $10.99 36 69% 1.1k $12k (exactly $11,869) Wistfulware
Not Sure About That $4.99 76 98% 2.3k $11k (exactly $11,377) Scratch
Concierge $12.99 22 100% 660 $8.6k (exactly $8,573) KODINO
Emma - In the Library older $4.99 50 68% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) Ace X
Logic - Keypad older $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) NguyeZ
CipherMind $7.99 18 77% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Pigeon Games
One More Question $7.99 12 100% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) OrangeSounds
Couch Detective · EA $4.99 19 57% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Gamtropy
Snemovna · EA $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Richard Haraším
In & Out $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) KASTEN

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.