Do I ship it?

GamesTriviaTrivia + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Trivia game?

Trivia + Horror

Only 14 developers shipped a Horror Trivia game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Angel's Devil Tail - One More Question 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 10 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 10 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trivia + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $10k → $5.4k (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trivia + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,918)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,433)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,979)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 32
Announced 10
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 265% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Trivia
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 319 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $5.4k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trivia with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local Co-OpFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.3k · 8 announced
  3. + Multiple EndingsFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  4. + DetectiveFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 6 announced
  5. + MysteryFair20 devs · median $748 · 11 announced
  6. + Choices MatterFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + InvestigationLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot14 devs · median $120 · 7 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $9.0k · 22 announced
  10. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  11. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds14 devs · median $1.7k · 12 announced
  12. + SimulationPoor odds36 devs · median $1.3k · 21 announced

All 45 pairs on the Trivia page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Jackbox Party Pack 6 older $29.99 2,343 95% 70k $2.1M (exactly $2,107,997) Jackbox Games, Inc.
你已经猜到结局了吗 older $7.99 388 92% 12k $93k (exactly $93,004) 橘音
The Angel's Devil Tail - One More Question 2 $9.99 70 91% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) 橘音
Ichima-san older $10.99 61 100% 1.8k $20k (exactly $20,112) sewohayami
1953 - KGB Unleashed older $2.99 218 63% 6.5k $20k (exactly $19,555) ·
Midnight Monitor: Aldercourt older $4.99 117 91% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) Viexi Games
Medieval Fantasy Survival Simulator older $1.99 252 96% 7.6k $15k (exactly $15,044) Randumb Studios
The Time Machine $9.99 35 97% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Lionel Marsden
EYES ON THE EXAM $4.99 67 91% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,030) Carlos 'Monty' Montamarta
Idiom Royale $1.99 91 63% 2.7k $5.4k (exactly $5,433) NyxWorks
CipherMind $7.99 18 77% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Pigeon Games
One More Question $7.99 12 100% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) OrangeSounds
Snemovna · EA $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Richard Haraším
Fate Dealer $2.99 14 85% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) Anguish Dealer
PENCILS DOWN™ $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Hayden-Fisher Technologies, Inc.
Question Roulette $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Mysterious Alien

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.