Do I ship it?

GamesRunnerRunner + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Runner?

Runner + Psychological Horror

Of 45 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Runner in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 22 developers shipped in the last year and 49 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 49 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Runner + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $475 → $597 → $1.0k → $359 → $449 → $479 (still earning) → $36k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Runner + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,443)
Top 5% $116k (exactly $115,573)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 124
Announced 49
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Runner; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Parkour
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,389 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Runner with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 10 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced
  3. + PsychologicalFair14 devs · median $839 · 12 announced
  4. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $838 · 8 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair12 devs · median $750 · 11 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair15 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  7. + FPSLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  8. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds12 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  9. + MusicPoor odds16 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $1.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $898 · 64 announced
  12. + Interactive FictionPoor odds10 devs · median $839 · 16 announced

All 123 pairs on the Runner page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ALTF4 older $2.99 9,452 80% 284k $848k (exactly $847,844) PUMPKIM
VHOLUME $8.00 2,992 97% 90k $718k (exactly $718,080) Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels… (Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels Tiercelin)
I wanna be the Creator older $5.99 2,860 94% 86k $514k (exactly $513,942) Aikesi
Super Dark Deception older $17.99 660 65% 20k $356k (exactly $356,202) Glowstick Entertainment
Seen · EA older $0.99 9,326 91% 280k $277k (exactly $276,982) Seen Games
Agreeee $4.99 1,150 74% 35k $172k (exactly $172,155) べすとまん
Relooted $14.99 257 87% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) Nyamakop
Decimate Drive older $7.99 321 91% 9.6k $77k (exactly $76,944) Some Random Designing
Ikarus Parkour $12.99 195 81% 5.9k $76k (exactly $75,992) Vanja Aleksić
No More Rainbows older $19.99 120 90% 3.6k $72k (exactly $71,964) Squido Studio, Robot Teddy
BEHEMOTH $3.99 412 88% 12k $49k (exactly $49,316) The Behemoth
Dark Succubus $6.99 171 77% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,859) ZC Game
Progress Racer RPG $5.99 133 94% 4.0k $24k (exactly $23,900) Cameron Ladjevardi, David Elliot
Misty Onsen $5.99 32 56% 960 $5.8k (exactly $5,750) 神 SHEN
Campfire: Night One $14.99 12 91% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Prisca, Mezey Krisztián
Lazy Climbers $4.99 35 68% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Cool Car Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.