Do I ship it?

GamesSplit ScreenSplit Screen + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen Procedural Generation game?

Split Screen + Procedural Generation

Of 20 developers who shipped a Split Screen Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×228 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 34 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Split Screen + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $839 → $598 → $4.3k → $180 (still earning) → $809 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Split Screen + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,746)
Top 5% $143k (exactly $142,941)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 60
Announced 34
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Split Screen, Procedural Generation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Action-Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 694 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $810, 1 in 4 over $5.7k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Split Screen with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Automobile SimStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  4. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $4.3k · 18 announced
  5. + SportsFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + RPGFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot23 devs · median $300 · 24 announced
  8. + CollectathonPoor odds10 devs · median $38k · 16 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds30 devs · median $25k · 63 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $18k · 20 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds20 devs · median $10k · 27 announced
  12. + Tower DefensePoor odds8 devs · median $7.9k · 10 announced

All 84 pairs on the Split Screen page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tooth and Tail older $19.99 2,887 82% 87k $1.7M (exactly $1,731,334) Pocketwatch Games
Sky Rogue older $19.99 1,059 92% 32k $635k (exactly $635,082) Fractal Phase
Space Beast Terror Fright older $14.99 1,255 91% 38k $564k (exactly $564,374) nornware AB
A Robot Named Fight! older $12.99 796 88% 24k $310k (exactly $310,201) Morningstar Game Studio
RICO older $19.99 428 61% 13k $257k (exactly $256,672) Ground Shatter
DunHero $8.99 530 89% 16k $143k (exactly $142,941) Dev Kacper
Endgame: Road To Salvation · EA older $11.99 156 97% 4.7k $56k (exactly $56,113) Indie/Anon Games
Destropolis older $5.99 255 89% 7.7k $46k (exactly $45,824) Igrek Games
Radiis older $14.99 95 90% 2.9k $43k (exactly $42,722) Urban Goose Games
Dead End Job older $16.99 74 71% 2.2k $38k (exactly $37,718) Ant Workshop Ltd
Sword of the Necromancer: Resurrection $24.99 38 86% 1.1k $28k (exactly $28,489) Grimorio of Games
Hyperspaced $16.99 27 92% 810 $14k (exactly $13,762) Rarebyte
Animosity $14.99 15 93% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Red River Studio
Synthwave Dream '85 $3.99 48 100% 1.4k $5.7k (exactly $5,746) LoneDev
Spectator 3 $12.99 11 90% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Neko Machine, Minechan
Marble Champions $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Luc Versleijen, Neonchimp Games
Steinstern: Spacewar $6.99 10 100% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) Chris Baum
AI PAINTER: Painting Simulator $19.99 3 66% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Magic Cat
Rhythm Racer · EA $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Elusive Byte

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.