Do I ship it?

GamesSplit ScreenSplit Screen + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Split Screen game?

Split Screen + Female Protagonist

Only 15 developers shipped a Female-Led Split Screen game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Split Fiction, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $18k, ×28 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $8.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $110M, ×187171 the market median. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 28.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 155% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Split Screen + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $20k → $9.6k → $28k → $58k → $18k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Split Screen + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $8.5k (exactly $8,544)
Median $18k (exactly $17,625)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $44,426)
Top 5% $118M (exactly $117,543,487)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 60
Announced 20
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Split Screen
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 79,324 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $8.6k, median $18k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $110M.

3 in 10 developers made under $8.6k. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Split Screen with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Automobile SimStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  4. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $4.3k · 18 announced
  5. + SportsFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + RPGFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot23 devs · median $300 · 24 announced
  8. + CollectathonPoor odds10 devs · median $38k · 16 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds30 devs · median $25k · 63 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds20 devs · median $10k · 27 announced
  11. + Tower DefensePoor odds8 devs · median $7.9k · 10 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds42 devs · median $4.8k · 78 announced

All 84 pairs on the Split Screen page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Split Fiction $49.99 78,378 97% 2.4M $118M (exactly $117,543,487) Hazelight Studios
Resident Evil 6 older $19.99 51,420 77% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,836,574) Capcom
Resident Evil 5 older $19.99 48,521 87% 1.5M $29M (exactly $29,098,044) Capcom
Gears 5 older $29.99 21,210 72% 636k $19M (exactly $19,082,637) The Coalition
Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 1 + 2 older $39.99 4,497 90% 135k $5.4M (exactly $5,395,051) Vicarious Visions, Iron Galaxy Studios
Mercenary Kings: Reloaded Edition older $19.99 1,192 74% 36k $715k (exactly $714,842) Tribute Games Inc.
The First Templar - Steam Special Edition older $9.99 543 73% 16k $163k (exactly $162,737) Haemimont Games
Carly and the Reaperman - Escape from the Underworld older $19.99 204 86% 6.1k $122k (exactly $122,339) Odd Raven Studios
Pampas & Selene: The Maze of Demons older $9.99 366 90% 11k $110k (exactly $109,690) @unepic_fran
Head's Adventures:chibichibi $7.99 334 97% 10k $80k (exactly $80,060) ManaWanderer
Amelia and the Erotic Tentacle Trap Dungeon · EA $10.99 175 66% 5.3k $58k (exactly $57,698) Studio SilverMoon
MeowGun: Hell Denizen $12.99 114 98% 3.4k $44k (exactly $44,426) SusaDeBastet
Sword of the Necromancer: Resurrection $24.99 38 86% 1.1k $28k (exactly $28,489) Grimorio of Games
Together in Forgotten Lands $7.99 104 90% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,929) Vellichor Games
Lost Twins 2 $14.99 46 86% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Playdew
Lurking Danger $11.99 49 65% 1.5k $18k (exactly $17,625) Farelas
Lost in Tandem $14.99 39 84% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) Tempete Studio
Super Night Riders S1 $9.99 47 95% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) miyu.works

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.