Do I ship it?

GamesSplit ScreenSplit Screen + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen Collectathon game?

Split Screen + Collectathon

Only 10 developers shipped a Split Screen Collectathon game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Biped 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $38k, ×60 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $6.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×582 the market median. Revenue is up 975% on the market; 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 60.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 975% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Split Screen + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Split Screen + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Median $38k (exactly $37,762)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $48,573)
Top 5% $366k (exactly $365,606)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 28
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 975% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Split Screen, Collectathon
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 82% positive over 1,578 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.3k, median $38k, 1 in 4 over $48k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.3k. 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Split Screen with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Automobile SimStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  4. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $4.3k · 18 announced
  5. + SportsFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + RPGFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot23 devs · median $300 · 24 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds30 devs · median $25k · 63 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $18k · 20 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds20 devs · median $10k · 27 announced
  11. + Tower DefensePoor odds8 devs · median $7.9k · 10 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds42 devs · median $4.8k · 78 announced

All 84 pairs on the Split Screen page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LEGO® Batman™: The Videogame older $19.99 12,850 89% 386k $7.7M (exactly $7,706,145) Traveller's Tales
LEGO® DC Super-Villains older $39.99 5,798 91% 174k $7.0M (exactly $6,955,861) TT Games, Feral Interactive (Mac)
Bang-On Balls: Chronicles older $24.99 4,334 96% 130k $3.2M (exactly $3,249,200) Exit Plan Games
Amazing Frog? 2 · EA older $19.99 726 77% 22k $435k (exactly $435,382) Fayju
Biped 2 $14.99 813 71% 24k $366k (exactly $365,606) META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios)
Cinnabunny $24.99 403 96% 12k $302k (exactly $302,129) Reky Studios
Teeto $17.99 90 94% 2.7k $49k (exactly $48,573) Eat Pant Games
Tasty Planet: Final Bite $12.99 100 90% 3.0k $39k (exactly $38,970) Dingo Games
Tiny Lands 2 $9.99 126 94% 3.8k $38k (exactly $37,762) Hyper Three Studio
Princess Castle Quest older $9.99 43 97% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,887) Piggybank Studios
Ultimate Blacksmith Tycoon ~The Appraiser-Shopkeeper Conquers the Blacksmith Trade~ · EA $14.99 15 80% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Quench Forge
Pecker $9.99 21 90% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Fonteinsoft UG
NOMSTERS $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Igor Yakunin
Slime Tower $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) DevCaffeine
Classic Bibe $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chimene Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.