Do I ship it?

GamesSpectacle fighterSpectacle fighter + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Procedural Generation

Only 8 developers shipped a Procedural Generation Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Poetry of Blood: Eclipse, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.8k against a market of $1.5k. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 15 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $5.5k → $897 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,800)
Top 25% $103k (exactly $103,431)
Top 5% $183k (exactly $182,578)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 28
Announced 15
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter, Procedural Generation
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 32,048 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tribes of Midgard older $19.99 17,465 76% 524k $10M (exactly $10,473,760) Norsfell
DR LIVESEY ROM AND DEATH EDITION older $2.99 12,437 94% 373k $1.1M (exactly $1,115,599) Agafonoff
Samurai Bringer older $9.99 1,012 87% 30k $303k (exactly $303,296) ALPHAWING Inc.
Ed-0: Zombie Uprising older $29.99 211 72% 6.3k $190k (exactly $189,837) LANCARSE
Poetry of Blood: Eclipse · EA $14.99 406 91% 12k $183k (exactly $182,578) ZeroGameStudio
Hordes of Hunger $14.99 230 72% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) Hyperstrange
Food Chain · EA older $7.99 69 59% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,539) Kozhakov
MECH PUNK older $4.99 85 74% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,724) Mr. Pink
BOBR KURWA older $2.99 121 76% 3.6k $11k (exactly $10,854) SmoochGM
Witch Epoch older $24.99 12 91% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Ash & Adam's GOBSMACKED $4.99 37 86% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Ash & Adam's Games
Taram Baba $4.00 15 93% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,800) Sofa Interactive
Ritualist $2.99 10 80% 300 $897 (exactly $897) SHARQ IT LAB
CHAT CHAMPIONS $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Fabio Biancarelli, FLEX$ Studios
Evolution of Species 2: Online $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Evolution of Games
One Step One Mistake $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) t-tech-fun

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.