Do I ship it?

GamesSpectacle fighterSpectacle fighter + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Precision Platformer

Only 7 developers shipped a Precision Platformer Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Decline's Drops, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.3k against a market of $1.5k. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,556)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 25% $65k (exactly $65,304)
Top 5% $76k (exactly $76,449)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 25
Announced 8
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter, Precision Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 570 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.6k, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $65k, 1 in 20 over $76k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Decline's Drops $14.99 170 96% 5.1k $76k (exactly $76,449) Le Moulin aux Bulles
Outrider Mako $17.99 121 65% 3.6k $65k (exactly $65,304) Asamado Games
Stop Dead · EA older $14.99 79 94% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,526) Gridsnap Games LLC
Street Power Football older $29.99 33 51% 990 $30k (exactly $29,690) SFL Interactive, Gamajun
Chronicles of 2 Heroes: Amaterasu's Wrath older $19.99 35 62% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,990) Infinity Experience
Agent Murphy older $4.99 47 72% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) xproject
Darkanoid older $2.99 52 92% 1.6k $4.7k (exactly $4,664) Shezo Games
Flippin Kaktus older $11.99 10 50% 300 $3.6k (exactly $3,597) rage++
Hammer of Pain $10.99 10 80% 300 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) SleepingFrog
Nice To Yeet You · EA $5.99 13 100% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Empty Bottle
KBF: Knight Bar Fight $3.99 13 100% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) KBF Team
Arya's Blade · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) WorldMatrixGames
ARO dangerous campaign $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Alexander Sevastianov

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.