Do I ship it?

GamesTradingTrading + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trading Point & Click game?

Trading + Point & Click

Of 34 developers who shipped a Trading Point & Click game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×4.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×226 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 58 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $267 → $10k → $629 → $8.4k → $7.8k → $2.1k (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trading + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,190)
Top 5% $107k (exactly $107,157)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 85
Announced 58
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 35%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Trading, Point & Click; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Economy, Life Sim
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Cozy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 3,293 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MiningFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  2. + Score AttackFair13 devs · median $600 · 13 announced
  3. + MMORPGPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  4. + Character CustomizationPoor odds26 devs · median $60k · 137 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds23 devs · median $47k · 84 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds24 devs · median $47k · 82 announced
  7. + FlightPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  8. + SportsPoor odds11 devs · median $34k · 14 announced
  9. + CollectathonPoor odds28 devs · median $30k · 65 announced
  10. + PhysicsPoor odds23 devs · median $27k · 71 announced
  11. + DrivingPoor odds23 devs · median $24k · 48 announced
  12. + LootPoor odds23 devs · median $23k · 60 announced

All 109 pairs on the Trading page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator older $19.99 37,870 92% 1.1M $23M (exactly $22,710,639) niceplay games
Hero of the Kingdom older $7.99 3,574 94% 107k $857k (exactly $856,688) Lonely Troops
Hero of the Kingdom II older $8.99 1,900 95% 57k $512k (exactly $512,430) Lonely Troops
The Executive - Movie Industry Tycoon $14.99 1,034 80% 31k $465k (exactly $464,990) Aniki Games
Hero of the Kingdom III older $9.99 1,234 78% 37k $370k (exactly $369,830) Lonely Troops
Hero of the Kingdom: The Lost Tales 1 older $6.99 1,044 91% 31k $219k (exactly $218,927) Lonely Troops
The Invisible Hand older $12.99 505 81% 15k $197k (exactly $196,798) Power Struggle Games
Repair this! older $6.99 786 88% 24k $165k (exactly $164,824) HGISoft
Hero of the Kingdom: The Lost Tales 2 older $6.99 684 89% 21k $143k (exactly $143,435) Lonely Troops
MMO98 $6.99 511 69% 15k $107k (exactly $107,157) BiteMe Games
Hero of the Kingdom: The Lost Tales 3 $6.99 476 91% 14k $100k (exactly $99,817) Lonely Troops
Lure Of Passion $5.99 452 89% 14k $81k (exactly $81,224) Snakerser's Games
Treasure Beach $9.99 271 81% 8.1k $81k (exactly $81,219) Rogue Duck Interactive
Device Doctor Simulator 2024 $9.99 186 62% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) Tenacity Games
Something to Drink? $9.99 84 98% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) Adam's Games
Keep Me Gifted $3.99 175 54% 5.3k $21k (exactly $20,948) Merlot Games
Guilds of Mountgate · EA $9.99 34 82% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Beaver Fever Games
NTR LIFE $3.99 70 74% 2.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,379) Jpegsama

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.