Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based CombatTurn-Based Combat + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Platformer

Only 12 developers shipped a Platformer Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nif Nif, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $330, ×0.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $66. 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper, while revenue is down 35% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $5.8k → $150
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $66 (exactly $66)
Median $330 (exactly $330)
Top 25% $897 (exactly $897)
Top 5% $7.8k (exactly $7,796)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 43
Announced 29
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat, Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 92% positive over 56 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $66, median $330, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $7.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $66. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monster Sanctuary older $19.99 10,416 91% 312k $6.2M (exactly $6,246,475) moi rai games
Indivisible older $19.99 2,458 72% 74k $1.5M (exactly $1,474,063) Lab Zero Games
Hylics 2 older $14.99 3,158 96% 95k $1.4M (exactly $1,420,153) Mason Lindroth
Worldless older $19.99 1,558 94% 47k $934k (exactly $934,333) Noname Studios
Super Neptunia RPG older $29.99 872 78% 26k $785k (exactly $784,538) Artisan Studios
RONIN older $12.99 1,613 71% 48k $629k (exactly $628,586) Tomasz Wacławek
Underhero older $14.99 691 91% 21k $311k (exactly $310,743) Paper Castle Games
Bearnard older $16.99 152 97% 4.6k $77k (exactly $77,474) Michał Wikliński
The Tenth Line older $7.99 135 83% 4.1k $32k (exactly $32,360) Sungazer Software LLC
Recon Control older $9.99 96 79% 2.9k $29k (exactly $28,771) Dmitry Kozlov
Nif Nif $19.99 13 92% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Springfox Games
Reindeer Story $7.99 24 95% 720 $5.8k (exactly $5,753) Azzie, Smoggysoft
Soccer in a Box $2.99 10 100% 300 $897 (exactly $897) WaveBox Labs
Paplion $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Spheanix
GunBlocks · EA $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Steve Welz
Arsica: Echoes of Ars $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) Lignacia Production
Lost Kingdom: Idle War $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) AGS GAMES
Shaolin Strategy $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Wang Jile
NOSTALGIA $2.20 1 0% 30 $66 (exactly $66) SONG
Warden of the Crypt $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Felipe de Sousa

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.