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Should I ship a Perma Death Spectacle fighter?
Spectacle fighter + Perma Death
Only 8 developers shipped a Perma Death Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rune Coliseum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $500k, ×337 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $897 (exactly $897) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $136k (exactly $136,005) |
| Top 5% | $505k (exactly $504,754) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Spectacle fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Perma Death
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Spectacle fighter, Perma Death
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 4,712 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Spectacle fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Score AttackFair
- + HorrorFair
- + LootPoor odds
- + Character Action GamePoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + MythologyPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Battle Ram | older | $29.99 | 2,204 85% | 66k | $2.0M (exactly $1,982,939) | Runic Rise Games |
| | Rune Coliseum | · EA | $18.99 | 886 79% | 27k | $505k (exactly $504,754) | Rafale Software |
| | Heart&Slash | older | $14.99 | 519 81% | 16k | $233k (exactly $233,394) | AHEARTFULOFGAMES |
| | Voidborn | $12.99 | 349 81% | 10k | $136k (exactly $136,005) | Xekvera | |
| | Trailer Shop Simulator | older | $4.99 | 265 73% | 8.0k | $40k (exactly $39,670) | GidAzGames |
| | HAYAI | older | $1.99 | 236 98% | 7.1k | $14k (exactly $14,089) | Chaoclypse |
| | Whisper Trip | older | $4.99 | 90 60% | 2.7k | $13k (exactly $13,473) | Walnut LLC |
| | MOONPONG: Tales of Epic Lunacy | older | $5.99 | 54 92% | 1.6k | $9.7k (exactly $9,704) | PUNKCAKE Delicieux |
| | Bike Rush | older | $4.99 | 61 44% | 1.8k | $9.1k (exactly $9,132) | Axyos Games |
| | Nimbusfall | older | $5.99 | 48 87% | 1.4k | $8.6k (exactly $8,626) | GodziPixel |
| | Taram Baba | $4.00 | 15 93% | 450 | $1.8k (exactly $1,800) | Sofa Interactive | |
| | Fallen King | $9.99 | 5 0% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Fish Bone | |
| | The Arena | $7.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Big W Games | |
| | Ritualist | $2.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $897 (exactly $897) | SHARQ IT LAB | |
| | Sewer Crawler | $1.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $537 (exactly $537) | Gromi Momi | |
| | Beautiful Cell | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Arsen Kurbanov |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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