Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Noir

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Noir Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Noir

Of 27 developers who shipped a Noir Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×303 the market median. Revenue is up 330% on the market; 54 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 330% on the market, 54 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Noir
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $20k → $7.4k → $2.2k → $4.5k → $5.8k → $35k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Noir: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $24,588)
Top 5% $190k (exactly $190,105)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 90
Announced 54
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 330% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Noir
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Psychedelic, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,323 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Alone in the Dark older $39.99 3,325 77% 100k $4.0M (exactly $3,989,002) Pieces Interactive
Endoparasitic older $9.99 2,928 93% 88k $878k (exactly $877,522) Miziziziz
Final Sentence $9.99 1,095 84% 33k $328k (exactly $328,172) Button Mash
Withering Realms · EA $19.99 317 95% 9.5k $190k (exactly $190,105) Moonless Formless
KINGDOM of the DEAD older $14.99 329 78% 9.9k $148k (exactly $147,951) DIRIGO GAMES
White Night older $14.99 305 74% 9.2k $137k (exactly $137,158) OSome Studio
Dread X Collection 5 older $9.99 251 81% 7.5k $75k (exactly $75,225) Christopher Yabsley, Stroboskop, Viscer… (Christopher Yabsley, Stroboskop, VisceralError, Nikk F., FYRE Games, Roope Tamminen, Shakles, Darkstone Digital, Philisophic Games, Colorfiction, iwilliams, Matt Reeves, Abbey 'Scruncho' Smith)
Hariti $6.99 318 88% 9.5k $67k (exactly $66,685) Ghostcase
Dollhouse older $14.99 140 50% 4.2k $63k (exactly $62,958) Creazn Studio
This is the Zodiac Speaking older $19.99 77 57% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) Punch Punk Games
BrokenLore: DON’T LIE $15.99 74 86% 2.2k $35k (exactly $35,498) Serafini Productions
Mycopsychosys: Remastered $4.99 231 97% 6.9k $35k (exactly $34,581) DeltaCat Studio
Death Frame $14.99 57 98% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) EpiXR Games UG
Silent Slayer: Vault of the Vampire $19.99 41 70% 1.2k $25k (exactly $24,588) Schell Games
Cling to Blindness $5.99 130 78% 3.9k $23k (exactly $23,361) Lizardry
规则:醒来之后,请别叫我 $44.99 10 100% 300 $13k (exactly $13,497) 后希
Operator8 $6.99 50 82% 1.5k $10k (exactly $10,485) Aligned Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.