Games › Trading › Trading + Naval
Should I ship a Naval Trading game?
Trading + Naval
Only 12 developers shipped a Naval Trading game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Caribbean Legend: Age of Pirates, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $8.5k, ×14 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $380k, ×609 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $629 (exactly $629) |
|---|---|
| Median | $8.5k (exactly $8,544) |
| Top 25% | $84k (exactly $83,958) |
| Top 5% | $383k (exactly $382,609) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,505 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $630. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + MiningFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + FlightPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + LootPoor odds
Comparable games
Sid Meier's Pirates! 2005 · $1.9M 
Port Royale 4 2020 · $1.7M 
Windward 2015 · $800k 
Port Royale 3 2012 · $541k 
TransOcean: The Shipping Company 2014 · $497k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sid Meier's Pirates! | older | $9.99 | 6,198 94% | 186k | $1.9M (exactly $1,857,541) | Firaxis Games |
| | Port Royale 4 | older | $39.99 | 1,405 56% | 42k | $1.7M (exactly $1,685,578) | Gaming Minds |
| | Windward | older | $9.99 | 2,668 79% | 80k | $800k (exactly $799,600) | Tasharen Entertainment Inc. |
| | Port Royale 3 | older | $14.99 | 1,204 72% | 36k | $541k (exactly $541,439) | Gaming Minds Studios |
| | TransOcean: The Shipping Company | older | $19.99 | 829 74% | 25k | $497k (exactly $497,151) | Deck13 Hamburg |
 | Caribbean Legend: Age of Pirates | $19.99 | 638 70% | 19k | $383k (exactly $382,609) | ReCon Team | |
 | Windward Horizon | $19.99 | 401 79% | 12k | $240k (exactly $240,480) | Tasharen Entertainment Inc. | |
 | Rise of Venice | older | $19.99 | 334 62% | 10k | $200k (exactly $200,300) | Gaming Minds Studios |
 | Patrician III | older | $4.99 | 893 81% | 27k | $134k (exactly $133,682) | Ascaron Entertainment ltd. |
 | Port Royale 2 | older | $5.99 | 661 71% | 20k | $119k (exactly $118,782) | Ascaron Entertainment ltd. |
 | Sail the Seas | $19.99 | 140 76% | 4.2k | $84k (exactly $83,958) | Viking Game Studio | |
 | Following Seas | · EA | $14.99 | 153 76% | 4.6k | $69k (exactly $68,804) | Whipstaff Games |
 | Terror of the Seven Seas | $14.99 | 108 78% | 3.2k | $49k (exactly $48,568) | Cutthroat Games | |
 | Storm Seas | · EA | $14.99 | 19 52% | 570 | $8.5k (exactly $8,544) | Dclares Dev |
 | Sea Town - Fish Market Simulator | $3.99 | 27 48% | 810 | $3.2k (exactly $3,232) | Alice Games | |
 | Port Trader | $5.99 | 13 46% | 390 | $2.3k (exactly $2,336) | Urban Isotope | |
 | Exploration | $6.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Software 2000 | |
 | Caribbean Frontier | · EA | $5.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Agon Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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