Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Combat › Turn-Based Combat + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Nature

Of 35 developers who shipped a Nature Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $520k, ×1095 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 73 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 73 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $1.6k → $1.7k → $2.9k → $150 → $1.5k → $1.8k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,495)
Top 5% $520k (exactly $520,113)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 96
Announced 73
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.66

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, RPG, Strategy
Price point
$6.66 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.66.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 2,352 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $520k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten 2022 · $1.4M Small Saga 2023 · $1.1M LumenTale: Memories of Trey 2026 · $847k Utawarerumono: Past and Present Rediscovered 2026 · $520k Day of the Shell 2025 · $172k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten older $59.99 759 80% 23k $1.4M (exactly $1,365,972) AQUAPLUS
Small Saga older $19.99 1,821 95% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,092,054) Darya Noghani
LumenTale: Memories of Trey $24.99 1,130 70% 34k $847k (exactly $847,161) Beehive Studios
Utawarerumono: Past and Present Rediscovered $59.99 289 83% 8.7k $520k (exactly $520,113) AQUAPLUS
Day of the Shell $14.99 382 68% 11k $172k (exactly $171,785) Duper Games
Tenderfoot Tactics older $14.99 220 81% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Kevin Maxon, Michael Bell, Isa Hutchins… (Kevin Maxon, Michael Bell, Isa Hutchinson, Taylor Thomas, Zoe Vartanian, Madison Pathe)
Shields of Loyalty $19.99 140 77% 4.2k $84k (exactly $83,958) Mosaic Mask Studio
Hermit and Pig $14.99 174 98% 5.2k $78k (exactly $78,248) Heavy Lunch Studio LLC
Doom & Destiny Worlds older $19.99 124 78% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Heartbit Interactive
Manafinder older $13.99 87 94% 2.6k $37k (exactly $36,514) Wolfsden LLC
Sky Oceans: Wings for Hire $24.99 45 64% 1.4k $34k (exactly $33,736) Octeto Studios
This Isn't Just Tower Defense $6.99 122 61% 3.7k $26k (exactly $25,583) Pri Games
Atre: Dominance Wars · EA $24.99 34 67% 1.0k $25k (exactly $25,490) Ironward
Quarterstaff $24.99 18 94% 540 $13k (exactly $13,495) Generic Lake Monster, LLC
Beyond the Grove · EA $14.99 18 77% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Not a Duck

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.