Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Nature

Of 53 developers who shipped a Nature Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 106 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $86k, ×138 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 106 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 106 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 53
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $359 → $719 → $1.4k → $1.9k → $2.7k → $1.2k (still earning) → $987 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 53
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,556)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,075)
Top 5% $87k (exactly $86,602)
Developers, 2 yr 53
Released games 120
Announced 106
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Survival
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 7,383 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $86k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 106 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
Funnel Runners · EA $14.99 2,941 83% 88k $1.3M (exactly $1,322,568) Supernova Studios LLC
GONE Fishing · EA $9.99 3,016 90% 90k $904k (exactly $903,895) GONE Studios
Through the Woods older $19.99 1,183 71% 35k $709k (exactly $709,445) Antagonist
Miasmata older $14.99 1,064 76% 32k $478k (exactly $478,481) IonFx
Eden Island older $14.99 232 58% 7.0k $104k (exactly $104,330) Moon Studio
Hachishakusama | 八尺様がいた夏休み $7.44 388 94% 12k $87k (exactly $86,602) Fukachi World
The Pale Mimic $7.99 345 86% 10k $83k (exactly $82,696) Dark Snow Games
They Breathe older $1.99 972 87% 29k $58k (exactly $58,028) The Working Parts
Amok Runner older $9.99 185 60% 5.6k $55k (exactly $55,444) Gamedeus
Paradise: Musubi $14.99 73 98% 2.2k $33k (exactly $32,828) PIL/SLASH
5 NIGHTS AT BOBR KURWA $2.99 324 93% 9.7k $29k (exactly $29,063) Team GZ
Dreadline: Net Quota $5.99 154 68% 4.6k $28k (exactly $27,674) Mana Brigade
Ice Age · EA $9.99 50 56% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Sabertooth Studio
Veil of Mist $5.99 43 55% 1.3k $7.7k (exactly $7,727) Ember Wing Games
Gordy $3.99 49 89% 1.5k $5.9k (exactly $5,865) MyGrandfather Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.