Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Split Screen game?

Split Screen + Nature

Only 17 developers shipped a Nature Split Screen game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cinnabunny, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Split Screen + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $32k → $839 → $449 → $899 → $119 → $270 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Split Screen + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $270 (exactly $270)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,398)
Top 5% $302k (exactly $302,129)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 42
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Split Screen; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Local Co-Op, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Family Friendly, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 596 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $270, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Split Screen with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Automobile SimStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  4. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $4.3k · 18 announced
  5. + SportsFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + RPGFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot23 devs · median $300 · 24 announced
  8. + CollectathonPoor odds10 devs · median $38k · 16 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds30 devs · median $25k · 63 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $18k · 20 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds20 devs · median $10k · 27 announced
  12. + Tower DefensePoor odds8 devs · median $7.9k · 10 announced

All 84 pairs on the Split Screen page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Cinnabunny 2025 · $302k River Tails: Stronger Together 2023 · $112k Bunny Hill 2020 · $39k Hand In Hand 2023 · $32k ToriDori 2023 · $29k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cinnabunny $24.99 403 96% 12k $302k (exactly $302,129) Reky Studios
River Tails: Stronger Together older $19.99 186 80% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Kid Onion Studio
Bunny Hill older $7.99 161 95% 4.8k $39k (exactly $38,592) DogmaQuest, Brendan Roarty
Hand In Hand older $11.99 90 90% 2.7k $32k (exactly $32,373) MaxMedia
ToriDori older $4.99 194 94% 5.8k $29k (exactly $29,042) Very Very LITTLE Studio
Lost in Tandem $14.99 39 84% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) Tempete Studio
ToriDori 2 $4.99 74 93% 2.2k $11k (exactly $11,078) Very Very LITTLE Studio
Don't Pop The Balloon $4.99 57 98% 1.7k $8.5k (exactly $8,533) Emirhan ÇAT, Bedirhan ÇAT
Rascal's Escape $29.99 6 66% 180 $5.4k (exactly $5,398) the Good Evil GmbH
Aquarium Land older $4.99 23 82% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Homa Games
Daily Driven Racer $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) A-Grand HT
Revolvermen $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Oskar Wetterbrandt
Rattus Velocitas $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Hedgehog Arts
Max's Jungle Odyssey $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) Fernando Garrido García-Manso
Monkey Wave $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) SnowSeal

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.