Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based CombatTurn-Based Combat + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Mythology

Of 76 developers who shipped a Mythological Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 143 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.7k, ×5.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×652 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 143 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 143 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 76
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $55k → $5.2k → $3.4k → $16k → $5.8k → $2.9k → $1.4k (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 76
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,730)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $32,984)
Top 5% $409k (exactly $409,487)
Developers, 2 yr 76
Released games 178
Announced 143
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 24,541 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 143 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Digimon Story Time Stranger $69.99 15,845 89% 475k $33M (exactly $33,269,746) Media.Vision Inc.
King Arthur: Knight's Tale older $44.99 6,722 83% 202k $9.1M (exactly $9,072,683) NeocoreGames
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster older $49.99 3,989 87% 120k $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) ATLUS
Black Book older $24.99 5,306 93% 159k $4.0M (exactly $3,977,908) Morteshka
NORSE: Oath of Blood $34.99 2,535 56% 76k $2.7M (exactly $2,660,990) Arctic Hazard
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Rogue Lords older $24.99 1,442 71% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio
Warriors of the Nile older $12.99 2,412 79% 72k $940k (exactly $939,956) Stove Studio
Journey to the West older $19.99 1,470 79% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Z Studio
Warriors of the Nile 2 older $14.99 1,180 88% 35k $531k (exactly $530,646) Stove Studio
Half-Demon Shinobi $10.99 1,242 89% 37k $409k (exactly $409,487) 樹懶叫工作室, 紳士吉娃, Maker製造機
緋月仙行錄 $19.99 454 57% 14k $272k (exactly $272,264) 月光草
无休仙途 $5.99 966 72% 29k $174k (exactly $173,590) GOCORE
Gods vs Horrors $14.99 254 75% 7.6k $114k (exactly $114,224) Oriol Cosp Games
The Eastern Sacrifice $9.99 356 55% 11k $107k (exactly $106,693) 五条虾仁(5 shrimps)
CREATION OF THE GODS: Rebellion at Five Passes $14.99 222 89% 6.7k $100k (exactly $99,833) TQGameStudio
Hungry Horrors · EA $14.99 209 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $93,987) Clumsy Bear Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.