Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Mythology

Of 28 developers who shipped a Mythological Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $650k, ×1046 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 60 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 60 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $958 → $897 → $4.3k → $564 → $13k (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $897 (exactly $897)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,211)
Top 5% $657k (exactly $656,815)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 71
Announced 60
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 4,855 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $650k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes older $29.99 7,360 89% 221k $6.6M (exactly $6,621,792) Supermassive Games
Bramble: The Mountain King older $29.99 6,512 94% 195k $5.9M (exactly $5,858,846) Dimfrost Studio
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Little Hope older $19.99 7,202 74% 216k $4.3M (exactly $4,319,039) Supermassive Games
Labyrinth Of The Demon King $19.99 2,116 92% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,268,965) J. R. Hudepohl
Apsulov: End of Gods older $19.99 1,509 86% 45k $905k (exactly $904,947) Angry Demon Studio
Through the Woods older $19.99 1,183 71% 35k $709k (exactly $709,445) Antagonist
Folklore Hunter $17.99 1,217 75% 37k $657k (exactly $656,815) Liquid Donkey Games
Unforgiving - A Northern Hymn older $14.99 1,437 82% 43k $646k (exactly $646,219) Angry Demon Studio
UMIGARI | ウミガリ $12.99 1,029 82% 31k $401k (exactly $401,001) Chilla's Art
MetaPhysical older $14.99 288 83% 8.6k $130k (exactly $129,514) Paper Promises Programming
Death Relives $12.99 196 81% 5.9k $76k (exactly $76,381) Nyctophile Studios
Temple of the Green Moon $14.99 94 75% 2.8k $42k (exactly $42,272) OLKON GAMES
Fragile Reflection $12.99 65 73% 2.0k $25k (exactly $25,330) Spectra team
Vasilisa $6.99 63 74% 1.9k $13k (exactly $13,211) Steppe Hare Studio
Kindawn: The Parish Remembers $9.99 26 80% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) ArchReality
Code Alkonost: Awakening of Evil $15.99 13 84% 390 $6.2k (exactly $6,236) Alkonost Team
Shizuoka Curse | 静岡の呪い $3.99 36 69% 1.1k $4.3k (exactly $4,309) KM Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.