Do I ship it?

GamesShop KeeperShop Keeper + Mystery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Shop Keeper?

Shop Keeper + Mystery

Of 24 developers who shipped a Mystery Shop Keeper in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $990; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×570 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 66 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 66 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shop Keeper + Mystery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Shop Keeper + Mystery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $987 (exactly $987)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,155)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,671)
Top 5% $271k (exactly $270,932)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 26
Announced 66
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 2200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shop Keeper
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mystery
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Shop Keeper; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Inventory Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Cozy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,768 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $990, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $990. 66 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shop Keeper with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds101 devs · median $13k · 122 announced
  2. + HorrorFair32 devs · median $5.1k · 55 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorFair26 devs · median $5.1k · 44 announced
  4. + ModernFair27 devs · median $3.2k · 28 announced
  5. + StrategyFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  6. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.5k · 27 announced
  7. + IncrementalFair56 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  8. + Strategy RPGFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  9. + NaturePoor odds32 devs · median $31k · 59 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds140 devs · median $16k · 209 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds44 devs · median $16k · 96 announced
  12. + Co-opPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 96 announced

All 48 pairs on the Shop Keeper page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Last Gas Station $13.99 1,250 87% 38k $525k (exactly $524,625) Alawar
Photomaly $6.99 1,292 89% 39k $271k (exactly $270,932) Revira Interactive
Retail Hell $7.99 532 95% 16k $128k (exactly $127,520) LEAP Game Studios
Tidy Up Together $5.99 221 80% 6.6k $40k (exactly $39,714) Malum Games
Arcadia Cafe $4.99 168 92% 5.0k $25k (exactly $25,150) Judas Brothers, Rassl.me
Animaly Bar: NO HUMANITY! $4.99 98 90% 2.9k $15k (exactly $14,671) Domnaier
Sex Shop Simulator: Sinful Girls $7.99 57 43% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Bits, Bytes & Sins
I Fell for Her $3.99 70 85% 2.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,379) arydk
Last Shift: Gas Station $3.99 46 80% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) Iron Cat Forge
The Last Lodge $4.99 34 100% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) Kusppy Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.