Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzle PlatformerPuzzle Platformer + Music

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Music Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Music

Only 12 developers shipped a Music Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Metro Gravity, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.0k against a market of $480. 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 2225% on the market, 18 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Music
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $3.2k → $1.5k → $77k → $269 → $8.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Music: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,967)
Top 25% $77k (exactly $77,374)
Top 5% $332k (exactly $332,024)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 141
Announced 18
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2225% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Music
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 1,286 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $77k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
In Sound Mind older $34.99 5,467 95% 164k $5.7M (exactly $5,738,710) We Create Stuff
DEEMO -Reborn- older $24.99 3,188 87% 96k $2.4M (exactly $2,390,044) Rayark International Limited
The Unfinished Swan older $14.99 1,888 83% 57k $849k (exactly $849,034) Giant Sparrow
FRAMED Collection older $9.99 2,336 94% 70k $700k (exactly $700,099) Loveshack Entertainment
Degrees of Separation older $19.99 1,011 80% 30k $606k (exactly $606,297) Moondrop
BALAN WONDERWORLD older $39.99 454 55% 14k $545k (exactly $544,664) Square Enix, ARZEST Corp.
One Hand Clapping older $14.99 877 84% 26k $394k (exactly $394,387) Bad Dream Games
Slice of Sea older $24.99 523 90% 16k $392k (exactly $392,093) Mateusz Skutnik
Metro Gravity $12.99 852 92% 26k $332k (exactly $332,024) mrkogamedev
140 older $4.99 2,054 94% 62k $307k (exactly $307,484) Carlsen Games
Star Overdrive $34.99 141 87% 4.2k $148k (exactly $148,008) Caracal Games
Magic Tiny Lands $29.99 86 90% 2.6k $77k (exactly $77,374) Galactic Geckon
Swan Song $7.99 95 96% 2.9k $23k (exactly $22,772) Business Goose Studios
After School Afterlife $7.99 34 100% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) Mini Bunnies
Songs of the HMong $8.99 11 72% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) 苗歌开发组
Hentai Office $1.99 25 96% 750 $1.5k (exactly $1,492) UwU
Hentai Step Milf $1.99 23 91% 690 $1.4k (exactly $1,373) UwU
Hentai Mature Milf $1.99 13 92% 390 $776 (exactly $776) UwU
Hentai Gothic $3.99 6 83% 180 $718 (exactly $718) UwU

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.