Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Life Sim?

Life Sim + Puzzle Platformer

Of 20 developers who shipped a Puzzle Platformer Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $660, ×1.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 21 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 21 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $327 → $3.6k → $14k → $599 → $898 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $657 (exactly $657)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,153)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $22,018)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 46
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Puzzle Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Multiple Endings, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 418 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $660, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Vanity Fair: The Pursuit older $6.99 4,014 87% 120k $842k (exactly $841,736) 木焱工作室
Rock Simulator older $1.99 1,646 94% 49k $98k (exactly $98,266) vinoo
心动满屋 older $3.99 218 75% 6.5k $26k (exactly $26,095) 成都萌创科技有限公司
Streaming ON! VTuber Training $6.99 105 65% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,018) Momentum Games
禁地直播 $4.99 109 88% 3.3k $16k (exactly $16,317) Say Hi Hi
If only I could go home early older $3.99 134 93% 4.0k $16k (exactly $16,040) 五十游戏
Merchant 64 $3.99 120 67% 3.6k $14k (exactly $14,364) SuitNtie
Polar Penguin Post · EA older $15.99 25 92% 750 $12k (exactly $11,992) Little Lemon Bulb
DIGGERGUN $9.99 20 90% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Kabloop
Storm of Jigsaw Puzzles 拼图风暴 older $9.99 20 75% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) AppleCoffee
Tidying Simulator $2.99 24 83% 720 $2.2k (exactly $2,153) GamJangJangi
Human Parking Simulator $8.99 7 85% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) NewAtlantisGameStudio
Haley: Online - Private Profile $3.99 12 91% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Red Sasori
Quarantine Quest $5.99 5 20% 150 $898 (exactly $898) KaashFusionStudio
Book Organizer $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) KimC
HARUKOHARU $1.99 11 81% 330 $657 (exactly $657) UNCHIFIREFLY

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.