Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + World War II

Only 8 developers shipped a WWII Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sinking The Boats, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.0k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 910% on the market, 16 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Multiple Endings + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,998)
Top 5% $7.1k (exactly $7,130)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 32
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 910% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Multiple Endings
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,979 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $7.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Flowers -Le volume sur ete- older $19.99 1,205 99% 36k $723k (exactly $722,638) Innocent Grey
Broken Lines older $24.99 604 76% 18k $453k (exactly $452,819) BirdIsland/PortaPlay
Through the Darkest of Times older $14.99 778 85% 23k $350k (exactly $349,867) Paintbucket Games
Gerda: A Flame in Winter older $19.99 498 94% 15k $299k (exactly $298,651) BirdIsland/PortaPlay
Attentat 1942 older $10.99 448 92% 13k $148k (exactly $147,706) Charles Games
FURRY HITLER older $6.99 677 78% 20k $142k (exactly $141,967) Furry Tails
Svoboda 1945: Liberation older $15.99 145 98% 4.4k $70k (exactly $69,556) Charles Games
Over the Alps older $7.99 230 87% 6.9k $55k (exactly $55,131) Stave Studios
FURRY HITLER 2 older $9.99 167 82% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,050) Furry Tails
SEX with HITLER 3D older $6.99 227 85% 6.8k $48k (exactly $47,602) H Studio
Sinking The Boats $6.99 34 94% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) 孟夏Mengxia
SGS Sealion $24.99 8 100% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Strategy Game Sudio
BIO Fault $5.99 14 100% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) IKO Games
Atonement $4.99 7 28% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) 几几不小心, 几几不小心
谍影:余烬 $0.99 15 93% 450 $446 (exactly $446) 咕噜狗
Through the fog $6.99 2 50% 60 $419 (exactly $419) GDStudio
Survive, Resist, Collaborate - a World War 2 Choice-Based Story $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Asterism Games
Unlimited Ammo Survivor $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Black Star Cloud

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.