Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Western

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Western Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Western

Only 10 developers shipped a Western Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bounty Trail, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $17k, ×28 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 25 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 25 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Western
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Western: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,875)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,615)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 31
Announced 25
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Western
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Multiple Endings
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 66% positive over 159 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.8k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Weird West: Definitive Edition older $39.99 3,962 77% 119k $4.8M (exactly $4,753,211) WolfEye Studios
LIVE A LIVE older $49.99 785 85% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,177,264) Square Enix, historia Inc.
Star Story: The Horizon Escape older $14.99 104 89% 3.1k $47k (exactly $46,769) EvilCoGames
Cave Digger 2 Dig Harder older $15.99 81 88% 2.4k $39k (exactly $38,856) VRKiwi
Cave Digger VR older $19.90 52 65% 1.6k $31k (exactly $31,044) VRKiwi
Cave Digger older $14.90 63 82% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,161) VRKiwi
Maelstrom: A Yaoi Visual Novel older $15.99 44 79% 1.3k $21k (exactly $21,107) Y Press Games, Geiship
The Dawn is Inevitable · EA older $6.99 91 87% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) Last Spring
Bounty Trail $6.99 84 52% 2.5k $18k (exactly $17,615) September Games
Dead Man's Rest older $11.99 48 95% 1.4k $17k (exactly $17,266) Gallium Games
Tower of Madness $4.99 38 89% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) J6 Games
Again!? The Sheriff’s Kinky Justice $3.29 19 52% 570 $1.9k (exactly $1,875) Myriad
That's My President! $7.99 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Kisotik Games
Checkmate in the Wild West - Chess Adventure $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Grouper Games LLC
Wild Willy West $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Team Sloop
Chasing Cassidy $1.99 3 100% 90 $179 (exactly $179) Troy Miller, Sam Buckley, Aaron Everson… (Troy Miller, Sam Buckley, Aaron Everson, Sam Yeadon, Aro Lee)
Atonement $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Nexus Media
The Sunset Land $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Rendara
BWAG $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dev-Solo Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.