Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Twin Stick Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Twin Stick Shooter?

Multiple Endings + Twin Stick Shooter

Only 10 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Twin Stick Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pinball Storm: Lokanta, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.0k against a market of $480. 32 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 6.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 32 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Twin Stick Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $62k → $1.6k → $3.0k → $49k
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Twin Stick Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 25% $40k (exactly $40,262)
Top 5% $78k (exactly $77,990)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 34
Announced 32
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Twin Stick Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Twin Stick Shooter
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 81% positive over 779 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $40k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rusted Moss older $19.99 1,575 88% 47k $945k (exactly $944,527) Emlise, happysquared, sunnydaze
Snezhinka:Sentinel Girls2 older $7.99 2,433 96% 73k $583k (exactly $583,190) hinyari9
The Knight Witch older $19.99 643 72% 19k $386k (exactly $385,607) Super Mega Team
Batora: Lost Haven older $24.99 211 73% 6.3k $158k (exactly $158,187) Stormind Games
NeverAwake older $19.99 149 95% 4.5k $89k (exactly $89,355) Neotro Inc.
Pinball Storm: Lokanta $5.99 434 70% 13k $78k (exactly $77,990) Aastral Dynamics
Beyond the Long Night older $17.99 115 67% 3.5k $62k (exactly $62,065) Noisy Head Games
Rogue Star Rescue older $14.99 122 91% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) Chute Apps
Slimekeep $14.99 109 87% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) BenBonk
Donuts for Deer Teeth $6.99 192 98% 5.8k $40k (exactly $40,262) posmnaut, Hefty Totem, BirdLovely, Mizu… (posmnaut, Hefty Totem, BirdLovely, MizuBlackRiver, Prahno Audio)
Blackheart $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Hyporeal
Fight Back The Night $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Morpeth Jetsan Ltd
Nothing Beyond This Point $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Dieuwt
Alastrius: Star-Fighter $11.99 3 100% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Caledonia Interactive
Forces of Ether $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Kaloyan Kaludov
Two Sides of Hell $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Red Sky Games
Rogue Dimensions $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Savage Old Gamers

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.