Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Top-Down Shooter?

Multiple Endings + Top-Down Shooter

Of 33 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Top-Down Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $77k, ×164 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 61 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 61 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $15k → $30 → $299 → $7.5k → $1.2k → $270 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $838 (exactly $838)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Top 5% $78k (exactly $77,990)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 105
Announced 61
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Top-Down Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,874 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $840, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum $12.99 839 98% 25k $327k (exactly $326,958) nodayshalleraseyou
D'LIRIUM older $4.99 987 96% 30k $148k (exactly $147,754) B52 Development Team
Pinball Storm: Lokanta $5.99 434 70% 13k $78k (exactly $77,990) Aastral Dynamics
Disjunction older $15.99 133 72% 4.0k $64k (exactly $63,800) Ape Tribe Games
Rogue Star Rescue older $14.99 122 91% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) Chute Apps
Grand Pigeon's Duty older $3.99 448 76% 13k $54k (exactly $53,626) WolfgangIs
OMG Zombies! older $4.99 347 80% 10k $52k (exactly $51,946) Laughing Jackal LTD
Donuts for Deer Teeth $6.99 192 98% 5.8k $40k (exactly $40,262) posmnaut, Hefty Totem, BirdLovely, Mizu… (posmnaut, Hefty Totem, BirdLovely, MizuBlackRiver, Prahno Audio)
Game of Rebirth $12.99 81 69% 2.4k $32k (exactly $31,566) ZodiacStudio
Sophstar older $9.99 94 100% 2.8k $28k (exactly $28,172) Banana Bytes
Deadland Garden $3.99 200 92% 6.0k $24k (exactly $23,940) Ronin SoftWork
Status One $14.99 30 73% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) LastCall Studio
TriggerHeart EXELICA ENHANCED $39.99 10 80% 300 $12k (exactly $11,997) Cosmo Machia inc.
Dark Sword: The Light of Ainn $3.99 63 93% 1.9k $7.5k (exactly $7,541) MrDoth
BATTLERCORE: TEAM BLAZER $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) SCARLET-G
Blackheart $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Hyporeal

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.