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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Sokoban?
Multiple Endings + Sokoban
Only 15 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Sokoban in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, AiliA, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $23k, ×50 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $716 (exactly $716) |
| Top 25% | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) |
| Top 5% | $24k (exactly $23,740) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Sokoban
- effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Multiple Endings, Sokoban; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 170 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
Catherine Classic 2019 · $5.3M 
Isles of Sea and Sky 2024 · $922k 
AiliA 2026 · $24k 
A Street Cat's Tale 2: Outside is Dangerous 2023 · $16k 
Last Stand Delivery 2024 · $14k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Catherine Classic | older | $19.99 | 8,858 88% | 266k | $5.3M (exactly $5,312,143) | ATLUS |
| | Isles of Sea and Sky | older | $19.99 | 1,538 91% | 46k | $922k (exactly $922,339) | Cicada Games |
| | AiliA | $11.99 | 66 89% | 2.0k | $24k (exactly $23,740) | IceToad Studio LLC | |
| | A Street Cat's Tale 2: Outside is Dangerous | older | $13.99 | 38 89% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $15,949) | PPIYO STUDIO |
| | Last Stand Delivery | older | $6.99 | 65 100% | 2.0k | $14k (exactly $13,630) | CalypsoMini |
 | Wilderplace | older | $12.99 | 29 100% | 870 | $11k (exactly $11,301) | Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lu… (Saman Bemel-Benrud, Micah Fitch, Tom Lubanovic) |
 | Seeking The Guardian | $8.99 | 38 94% | 1.1k | $10k (exactly $10,249) | Uiqoo, Shortcake Sweets, CubeDo | |
 | 黎明为歌 - Melody before the Dawn | older | $4.99 | 62 88% | 1.9k | $9.3k (exactly $9,281) | Rolling Cat Studio |
 | Bryce Tiles | $13.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $7.6k (exactly $7,555) | Brilliance, Brilliance Games | |
 | Secret Psychology | older | $5.99 | 36 88% | 1.1k | $6.5k (exactly $6,469) | Momentum Games |
 | 刻印战记1：法利兹传 | $8.99 | 13 53% | 390 | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) | Lycian Studio | |
 | NTR Neko Maid: Erotic Favor | $14.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $2.2k (exactly $2,248) | ハーフトーンドット | |
 | A Directionless Cycle | $4.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Half Sun Games | |
 | Super Blockbuster | $4.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Pikselit Games | |
 | 博物魅影 | $1.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $716 (exactly $716) | 图南工作室(Tunan Studio) | |
 | Cryptigma | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Jack Garvin | |
 | Trigwa | $3.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | CD-REV |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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