Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Shoot 'Em Up?

Multiple Endings + Shoot 'Em Up

Of 51 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×2.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $83k, ×175 the market median. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 67 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 120% on the market, 67 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 51
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $1.2k → $298 → $240 → $2.1k → $1.2k → $1.1k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 51
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,793)
Top 5% $83k (exactly $83,217)
Developers, 2 yr 51
Released games 146
Announced 67
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Shoot 'Em Up; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Arcade
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Retro, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,310 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $83k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hunt Down The Freeman older $9.99 3,785 54% 114k $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) Royal Rudius Entertainment
Angel at Dusk older $14.99 1,676 98% 50k $754k (exactly $753,697) Akiragoya
Guns of Fury $14.99 950 88% 29k $427k (exactly $427,215) Gelato Games Ltd
The Knight Witch older $19.99 643 72% 19k $386k (exactly $385,607) Super Mega Team
Darius Cozmic Collection Arcade older $44.99 151 94% 4.5k $204k (exactly $203,805) TAITO CORP., M2 Co.,LTD
Neckbreak older $15.99 415 79% 12k $199k (exactly $199,076) MGP Studios, Solid9 Studio
G-Darius HD older $29.99 158 94% 4.7k $142k (exactly $142,153) TAITO CORP., M2 Co., Ltd.
Deathsmiles I・II older $39.90 97 95% 2.9k $116k (exactly $116,109) CITY CONNECTION, TAKE×0FF
Wild Blue Skies $14.99 251 58% 7.5k $113k (exactly $112,875) Chuhai Labs, VITEI BACKROOM Inc.
Miss Kobayashi's Dragon Maid Burst Forth!! Choro-gon☆Breath DIRECTOR'S CUT older $29.99 116 89% 3.5k $104k (exactly $104,365) KAMINARI GAMES Inc.
MARVEL MaXimum Collection $24.99 111 76% 3.3k $83k (exactly $83,217) Limited Run Games
Pinball Storm: Lokanta $5.99 434 70% 13k $78k (exactly $77,990) Aastral Dynamics
閃攻機人アスラ - ASURA THE STRIKER - $14.99 145 91% 4.4k $65k (exactly $65,206) LeftOver
R-Type Delta: HD Boosted $24.99 86 81% 2.6k $64k (exactly $64,474) CITY CONNECTION, TAKE×0FF
PROJECT TACHYON $17.99 117 83% 3.5k $63k (exactly $63,145) STUDIO N9
NIGHT STRIKER GEAR $18.99 94 88% 2.8k $54k (exactly $53,552) M2 Co., Ltd., M2 Co.,LTD
METAL SUITS: Counter-attack $9.99 71 77% 2.1k $21k (exactly $21,279) Gonggamore Contents
DeviDevi Survivor $9.99 51 58% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) PAKOchan Factory

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.