Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Science

Of 25 developers who shipped a Science Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×2251 the market median. Revenue is up 415% on the market; 66 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 415% on the market, 66 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $18k → $153k → $90 → $750 → $1.4k → $2.2k → $2.9k (still earning) → $9.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $750 (exactly $750)
Top 25% $9.7k (exactly $9,684)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,069,022)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 86
Announced 66
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 415% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Visual Novel
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 6,197 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $750, 1 in 4 over $9.6k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Talos Principle 2014 · $26M STEINS;GATE 2016 · $23M The Invincible 2023 · $9.0M STEINS;GATE 0 2018 · $8.3M SpaceBourne 2 2025 · $3.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Talos Principle older $29.99 29,237 95% 877k $26M (exactly $26,304,529) Croteam
STEINS;GATE older $29.99 25,289 97% 759k $23M (exactly $22,752,513) MAGES. Inc.
The Invincible older $29.99 10,055 87% 302k $9.0M (exactly $9,046,484) Starward Industries
STEINS;GATE 0 older $34.99 7,916 95% 237k $8.3M (exactly $8,309,425) MAGES. Inc.
SpaceBourne 2 $19.99 4,951 75% 149k $3.0M (exactly $2,969,115) Burak Dabak
CHAOS;CHILD older $24.99 3,866 93% 116k $2.9M (exactly $2,898,340) MAGES. Inc.
STEINS;GATE ELITE older $59.99 1,584 90% 48k $2.9M (exactly $2,850,725) MAGES. Inc.
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- older $9.99 7,777 95% 233k $2.3M (exactly $2,330,767) Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSE… (Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSEOK)
STEINS;GATE RE:BOOT $59.99 594 88% 18k $1.1M (exactly $1,069,022) MAGES. Inc.
Genesis Alpha One Deluxe Edition older $19.99 1,566 73% 47k $939k (exactly $939,130) Radiation Blue
The Dream Of A Cockspur $6.99 288 93% 8.6k $60k (exactly $60,394) roccay
TELLURICENE $11.99 61 100% 1.8k $22k (exactly $21,942) DEADline Studios
Oxide Room 208 $29.99 22 31% 660 $20k (exactly $19,793) WildSphere
法医探案团之碎嘴小诗 $3.99 135 77% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) 芒果互娱
Advent: Dawn $16.99 19 89% 570 $9.7k (exactly $9,684) Spire Games
Snowfall's Mystery $2.99 99 86% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) Sempiternal Rain
Forgotten 23 $12.99 14 92% 420 $5.5k (exactly $5,456) KovalGames
Posthuman: Guardians vs PSION $6.99 14 42% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Choice of Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.