Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Roguelite?

Multiple Endings + Roguelite

Of 186 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 346 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×722 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 346 games are announced against 119 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 346 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 186
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.3k → $5.9k → $18k → $3.6k → $5.8k → $3.2k → $2.3k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 186
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $26,532)
Top 5% $343k (exactly $343,028)
Developers, 2 yr 186
Released games 378
Announced 346
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Roguelite; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, RPG, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 41,006 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 75 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 346 games are announced against 119 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

暖雪 Warm Snow 2022 · $19M Griftlands 2021 · $8.1M CloverPit 2025 · $7.4M Lost Castle / 失落城堡 2016 · $5.5M Anomaly Agent 2024 · $3.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
暖雪 Warm Snow older $17.99 35,270 92% 1.1M $19M (exactly $19,035,219) BadMudStudio
Griftlands older $19.99 13,440 93% 403k $8.1M (exactly $8,059,968) Klei Entertainment
CloverPit $9.99 24,710 90% 741k $7.4M (exactly $7,405,587) Panik Arcade
Lost Castle / 失落城堡 older $9.99 18,417 87% 553k $5.5M (exactly $5,519,575) Hunter Studio
Anomaly Agent older $11.99 9,463 94% 284k $3.4M (exactly $3,403,841) Phew Phew Games
Yog-Sothoth’s Yard older $10.99 10,207 93% 306k $3.4M (exactly $3,365,248) Bone Nail
School Days $14.99 6,023 77% 181k $2.7M (exactly $2,708,543) 白雨工作室
Chinese Online Game older $9.99 6,610 82% 198k $2.0M (exactly $1,981,017) 648工作室
Moon Hunters older $14.99 3,919 79% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,762,374) Kitfox Games
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience older $19.99 2,596 91% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,821) Delve Interactive
Demon Lord: Just a Block $12.99 2,065 96% 62k $805k (exactly $804,730) YuWave
Uncle Chop's Rocket Shop $19.99 1,108 84% 33k $664k (exactly $664,468) Beard Envy
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Destiny of Immortal · EA $11.99 1,763 80% 53k $634k (exactly $634,151) LeiYun Games
DRAPLINE · EA $9.99 1,826 96% 55k $547k (exactly $547,252) KANAWO
Rebirth Pub $17.99 700 92% 21k $378k (exactly $377,790) Seikou Soft.
Witch's Apocalyptic Journey $8.99 1,282 84% 38k $346k (exactly $345,755) MeowAlive
Million Depth $16.99 673 93% 20k $343k (exactly $343,028) Cyber Space Biotope

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.