Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Puzzle Platformer?

Multiple Endings + Puzzle Platformer

Of 118 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 227 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×2.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×238 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 227 games are announced against 59 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 227 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 118
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.8k → $390 → $1.3k → $1.3k → $1.7k → $1.8k → $299 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 118
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 5% $113k (exactly $113,209)
Developers, 2 yr 118
Released games 341
Announced 227
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Puzzle Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 12,343 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 67 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 227 games are announced against 59 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
INSIDE older $24.99 69,791 97% 2.1M $52M (exactly $52,322,313) Playdead
Catherine Classic older $19.99 8,858 88% 266k $5.3M (exactly $5,312,143) ATLUS
Manifold Garden older $19.99 7,717 95% 232k $4.6M (exactly $4,627,885) William Chyr Studio
Sable older $24.99 5,365 86% 161k $4.0M (exactly $4,022,140) Shedworks
Reventure older $12.34 8,451 95% 254k $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) Pixelatto
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed $39.99 1,275 93% 38k $1.5M (exactly $1,529,618) Purple Lamp
Train Valley 2 older $14.99 2,356 90% 71k $1.1M (exactly $1,059,493) Alexey Davydov, Sergey Dvoynikov, Timof… (Alexey Davydov, Sergey Dvoynikov, Timofey Shargorodskiy, Flazm)
Scarlet Idol $7.99 2,586 66% 78k $620k (exactly $619,864) 山雨工作室
Oddworld: Soulstorm Enhanced Edition older $39.99 504 65% 15k $605k (exactly $604,649) Oddworld Inhabitants
Fever Meme $4.20 4,358 91% 131k $549k (exactly $549,108) Aimbok
Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise $15.99 1,054 78% 32k $506k (exactly $505,604) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Game Of Fate 3:Clash Of Crowns $16.79 734 85% 22k $370k (exactly $369,716) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Game of Fate: Chasing Through Time $10.99 986 88% 30k $325k (exactly $325,084) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
PEPPERED: an existential platformer $14.99 603 96% 18k $271k (exactly $271,169) Mostly Games
Cursed Armor 2 $15.99 236 84% 7.1k $113k (exactly $113,209) wolfgame
Super Puzzled Cat $16.99 183 98% 5.5k $93k (exactly $93,275) Penguin Mug Games
The Warrior $4.99 328 97% 9.8k $49k (exactly $49,102) ThornDuck

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.