Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Perma Death

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Perma Death game?

Multiple Endings + Perma Death

Of 90 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Perma Death game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 144 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×709 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 144 games are announced against 56 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 144 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Perma Death
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 90
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $1.8k → $8.5k → $3.1k → $718 → $1.2k → $538 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Perma Death: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 90
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 5% $337k (exactly $336,863)
Developers, 2 yr 90
Released games 185
Announced 144
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Perma Death
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Perma Death; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Roguelike, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 16,499 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 144 games are announced against 56 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Quarry 2022 · $29M Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days 2025 · EA · $6.8M Until Dawn™ 2024 · $6.4M Heads Will Roll: Reforged 2023 · $1.2M Aliya: Timelink 2024 · $770k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quarry older $59.99 16,127 83% 484k $29M (exactly $29,023,762) Supermassive Games
Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days · EA $24.99 9,049 89% 271k $6.8M (exactly $6,784,035) PikPok
Until Dawn™ $59.99 3,564 82% 107k $6.4M (exactly $6,414,131) Ballistic Moon
Heads Will Roll: Reforged older $24.99 1,642 82% 49k $1.2M (exactly $1,231,007) 1917 Studios
Aliya: Timelink older $2.99 8,587 97% 258k $770k (exactly $770,254) TDGame Studio
Spirit Realm · EA older $18.18 1,379 76% 41k $752k (exactly $752,107) 深圳市灵境互娱科技有限公司
Killing Room older $14.99 1,266 71% 38k $569k (exactly $569,320) Alda Games
Broken Lines older $24.99 604 76% 18k $453k (exactly $452,819) BirdIsland/PortaPlay
Approaching Infinity $17.99 723 95% 22k $390k (exactly $390,203) IBOL
Million Depth $16.99 673 93% 20k $343k (exactly $343,028) Cyber Space Biotope
SILENT BREATH $9.99 1,124 67% 34k $337k (exactly $336,863) EXODIAC STUDIOS
PEPPERED: an existential platformer $14.99 603 96% 18k $271k (exactly $271,169) Mostly Games
MOLDRISE $11.99 486 96% 15k $175k (exactly $174,814) Raffaele Picca
Slimekeep $14.99 109 87% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) BenBonk
Endless Dark $7.99 115 99% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,566) Little Light Studios, LLC
Red Rogue Sea $16.99 53 64% 1.6k $27k (exactly $27,014) Firemage Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.