Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Nature

Of 94 developers who shipped a Nature Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 170 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $65k, ×139 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 170 games are announced against 52 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 170 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 94
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $1.8k → $1.0k → $599 → $1.6k → $1.0k → $748 (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 94
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,930)
Top 5% $66k (exactly $65,934)
Developers, 2 yr 94
Released games 233
Announced 170
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Choices Matter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 8,534 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $65k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 170 games are announced against 52 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lost Records: Bloom & Rage $39.99 5,873 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,045,838) DON'T NOD
LumenTale: Memories of Trey $24.99 1,130 70% 34k $847k (exactly $847,161) Beehive Studios
Witchy Life Story older $19.99 965 80% 29k $579k (exactly $578,710) Sundew Studios
Know by heart older $19.99 792 89% 24k $475k (exactly $474,962) Ice-Pick Lodge
Tides of Tomorrow 🌊 $29.99 521 86% 16k $469k (exactly $468,744) Digixart
Camp Buddy: Scoutmaster Season older $39.99 354 94% 11k $425k (exactly $424,694) BLits Games
A Highland Song older $17.99 553 87% 17k $298k (exactly $298,454) inkle Ltd
Under The Island $19.99 446 92% 13k $267k (exactly $267,466) Slime King Games
Waking Mars older $9.99 651 89% 20k $195k (exactly $195,105) Tiger Style
The Good Life older $29.99 198 74% 5.9k $178k (exactly $178,141) White Owls Inc.
Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game $9.99 220 96% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC
Generation Exile $29.99 48 66% 1.4k $43k (exactly $43,186) Sonderlust Studios
Dream Life in the Country Side $14.99 87 83% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) Moonlit Cafe
Rewrite Harvest festa! $19.99 64 96% 1.9k $38k (exactly $38,381) VisualArts/Key
Primal Hearts $24.99 38 89% 1.1k $28k (exactly $28,489) Marmalade
Jukai Maze $6.99 107 86% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) 致意

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.