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Should I ship a Nature Multiple Endings game?
Multiple Endings + Nature
Of 94 developers who shipped a Nature Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 170 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $65k, ×139 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 170 games are announced against 52 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $4.9k (exactly $4,930) |
| Top 5% | $66k (exactly $65,934) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 94 |
| Released games | 233 |
| Announced | 170 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Nature
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 8,534 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 170 games are announced against 52 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lost Records: Bloom & Rage | $39.99 | 5,873 86% | 176k | $7.0M (exactly $7,045,838) | DON'T NOD | |
| | LumenTale: Memories of Trey | $24.99 | 1,130 70% | 34k | $847k (exactly $847,161) | Beehive Studios | |
| | Witchy Life Story | older | $19.99 | 965 80% | 29k | $579k (exactly $578,710) | Sundew Studios |
| | Know by heart | older | $19.99 | 792 89% | 24k | $475k (exactly $474,962) | Ice-Pick Lodge |
| | Tides of Tomorrow 🌊 | $29.99 | 521 86% | 16k | $469k (exactly $468,744) | Digixart | |
| | Camp Buddy: Scoutmaster Season | older | $39.99 | 354 94% | 11k | $425k (exactly $424,694) | BLits Games |
| | A Highland Song | older | $17.99 | 553 87% | 17k | $298k (exactly $298,454) | inkle Ltd |
| | Under The Island | $19.99 | 446 92% | 13k | $267k (exactly $267,466) | Slime King Games | |
| | Waking Mars | older | $9.99 | 651 89% | 20k | $195k (exactly $195,105) | Tiger Style |
| | The Good Life | older | $29.99 | 198 74% | 5.9k | $178k (exactly $178,141) | White Owls Inc. |
| | Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game | $9.99 | 220 96% | 6.6k | $66k (exactly $65,934) | DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC | |
| | Generation Exile | $29.99 | 48 66% | 1.4k | $43k (exactly $43,186) | Sonderlust Studios | |
| | Dream Life in the Country Side | $14.99 | 87 83% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $39,124) | Moonlit Cafe | |
| | Rewrite Harvest festa! | $19.99 | 64 96% | 1.9k | $38k (exactly $38,381) | VisualArts/Key | |
| | Primal Hearts | $24.99 | 38 89% | 1.1k | $28k (exactly $28,489) | Marmalade | |
| | Jukai Maze | $6.99 | 107 86% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | 致意 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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