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Should I ship a Mythological Multiple Endings game?
Multiple Endings + Mythology
Of 59 developers who shipped a Mythological Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 161 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×309 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 161 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $13,646) |
| Top 5% | $194k (exactly $194,270) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 59 |
| Released games | 189 |
| Announced | 161 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Mythology
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Exploration
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 6,042 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 161 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed® Odyssey | older | $59.99 | 172,149 89% | 5.2M | $310M (exactly $309,816,555) | Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai) |
| | Assassin's Creed Valhalla | older | $59.99 | 41,083 70% | 1.2M | $74M (exactly $73,937,075) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | 暖雪 Warm Snow | older | $17.99 | 35,270 92% | 1.1M | $19M (exactly $19,035,219) | BadMudStudio |
| | The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes | older | $29.99 | 7,360 89% | 221k | $6.6M (exactly $6,621,792) | Supermassive Games |
| | Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster | older | $49.99 | 3,989 87% | 120k | $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) | ATLUS |
| | The Dark Pictures Anthology: Little Hope | older | $19.99 | 7,202 74% | 216k | $4.3M (exactly $4,319,039) | Supermassive Games |
| | Yog-Sothoth’s Yard | older | $10.99 | 10,207 93% | 306k | $3.4M (exactly $3,365,248) | Bone Nail |
| | Asterigos: Curse of the Stars | older | $34.99 | 2,550 78% | 77k | $2.7M (exactly $2,676,735) | Acme Gamestudio |
| | Stray Gods: The Roleplaying Musical | older | $29.99 | 2,570 92% | 77k | $2.3M (exactly $2,312,229) | Summerfall Studios |
| | VALKYRIE ELYSIUM | older | $59.99 | 1,021 61% | 31k | $1.8M (exactly $1,837,494) | Square Enix, Soleil Ltd. |
| | SIFU Kidnapped! Adventure in the Women's Kingdom | $9.99 | 2,537 95% | 76k | $760k (exactly $760,339) | 次元边界 | |
| | One-Eyed Likho | $19.99 | 1,155 93% | 35k | $693k (exactly $692,654) | Morteshka | |
| | BLACKSHARD | $14.99 | 432 91% | 13k | $194k (exactly $194,270) | Redlock Studio, Enclave | |
| | DragonLoop | $8.99 | 567 91% | 17k | $153k (exactly $152,920) | 沙因, 小阮 | |
| | Somber Echoes | $14.99 | 271 81% | 8.1k | $122k (exactly $121,869) | Rock Pocket Games, Lav Games | |
| | Sin and Love | $14.99 | 232 65% | 7.0k | $104k (exactly $104,330) | XingCaiStudio | |
| | Mythic Love: Iberian Legends | $12.99 | 251 92% | 7.5k | $98k (exactly $97,815) | Platonic Games | |
| | Reviver | $8.99 | 202 91% | 6.1k | $54k (exactly $54,479) | Cotton Game | |
| | Unlucky Mummy | $4.49 | 281 84% | 8.4k | $38k (exactly $37,851) | Karaclan | |
| | The Allure Of Wanton Cove | $9.99 | 114 78% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $34,166) | Ktulhu Solutions, Aftermath |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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