Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Mystery Dungeon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Mystery Dungeon?

Multiple Endings + Mystery Dungeon

Of 45 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $390, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $39k, ×83 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 58 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Mystery Dungeon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $25k → $594 → $5.4k → $418 → $1.8k → $359 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Mystery Dungeon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $208 (exactly $208)
Median $386 (exactly $386)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 5% $39k (exactly $39,247)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 104
Announced 58
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Mystery Dungeon; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Dungeon Crawler, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 736 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $390, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $39k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. Nearly all of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Reventure older $12.34 8,451 95% 254k $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) Pixelatto
That Time I Got Reincarnated as an Orc older $18.99 391 89% 12k $223k (exactly $222,753) HONEYSOFT
The Light Remake older $4.99 1,462 87% 44k $219k (exactly $218,861) Носков Сергей
Dragon Princess is Hungry older $19.99 216 92% 6.5k $130k (exactly $129,535) TashiKani
The Land Beneath Us older $14.99 230 79% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) FairPlay Studios
Yes My Lord older $14.99 204 95% 6.1k $92k (exactly $91,739) Doubles Core
Warrior Maiden Lecia and the Lost Fortress $19.99 149 85% 4.5k $89k (exactly $89,355) Kuroto Zakka
Mask of Mists older $14.99 171 85% 5.1k $77k (exactly $76,899) 9 Eyes Game Studio
Bikini Armour Explorers older $15.99 150 67% 4.5k $72k (exactly $71,955) Kiralice Sha
Gears of Dragoon: Fragments of a New Era older $34.99 59 76% 1.8k $62k (exactly $61,932) Ninetail
Gehenna $19.99 78 79% 2.3k $47k (exactly $46,777) Kemuriya
Alisa's Grimoire $16.99 77 87% 2.3k $39k (exactly $39,247) Circle Kurasuke Warehouse
Hero in an All-Forgiving Fantasy World RPG $16.99 74 74% 2.2k $38k (exactly $37,718) INAZUMA GAMES
Bobo's Big Tower $9.99 93 92% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) SillyKitty
Lost in the World of Succubi $13.99 66 81% 2.0k $28k (exactly $27,700) Shimofumi-ya
Dungeon Deck $9.99 37 97% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,089) Incinious
The Lazy Demon Lord and the Four Stones of Dispel $12.99 27 55% 810 $11k (exactly $10,522) I-guruwan
NTR LIFE $3.99 70 74% 2.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,379) Jpegsama
Slendrina Remake $3.99 65 63% 2.0k $7.8k (exactly $7,780) GearMech

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.