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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Mystery Dungeon?
Multiple Endings + Mystery Dungeon
Of 45 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $390, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $39k, ×83 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 58 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $208 (exactly $208) |
|---|---|
| Median | $386 (exactly $386) |
| Top 25% | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 5% | $39k (exactly $39,247) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 45 |
| Released games | 104 |
| Announced | 58 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Multiple Endings, Mystery Dungeon; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Dungeon Crawler, RPG
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 736 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. Nearly all of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Reventure | older | $12.34 | 8,451 95% | 254k | $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) | Pixelatto |
| | That Time I Got Reincarnated as an Orc | older | $18.99 | 391 89% | 12k | $223k (exactly $222,753) | HONEYSOFT |
| | The Light Remake | older | $4.99 | 1,462 87% | 44k | $219k (exactly $218,861) | Носков Сергей |
| | Dragon Princess is Hungry | older | $19.99 | 216 92% | 6.5k | $130k (exactly $129,535) | TashiKani |
| | The Land Beneath Us | older | $14.99 | 230 79% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $103,431) | FairPlay Studios |
| | Yes My Lord | older | $14.99 | 204 95% | 6.1k | $92k (exactly $91,739) | Doubles Core |
| | Warrior Maiden Lecia and the Lost Fortress | $19.99 | 149 85% | 4.5k | $89k (exactly $89,355) | Kuroto Zakka | |
| | Mask of Mists | older | $14.99 | 171 85% | 5.1k | $77k (exactly $76,899) | 9 Eyes Game Studio |
| | Bikini Armour Explorers | older | $15.99 | 150 67% | 4.5k | $72k (exactly $71,955) | Kiralice Sha |
| | Gears of Dragoon: Fragments of a New Era | older | $34.99 | 59 76% | 1.8k | $62k (exactly $61,932) | Ninetail |
| | Gehenna | $19.99 | 78 79% | 2.3k | $47k (exactly $46,777) | Kemuriya | |
| | Alisa's Grimoire | $16.99 | 77 87% | 2.3k | $39k (exactly $39,247) | Circle Kurasuke Warehouse | |
| | Hero in an All-Forgiving Fantasy World RPG | $16.99 | 74 74% | 2.2k | $38k (exactly $37,718) | INAZUMA GAMES | |
| | Bobo's Big Tower | $9.99 | 93 92% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | SillyKitty | |
| | Lost in the World of Succubi | $13.99 | 66 81% | 2.0k | $28k (exactly $27,700) | Shimofumi-ya | |
| | Dungeon Deck | $9.99 | 37 97% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,089) | Incinious | |
| | The Lazy Demon Lord and the Four Stones of Dispel | $12.99 | 27 55% | 810 | $11k (exactly $10,522) | I-guruwan | |
| | NTR LIFE | $3.99 | 70 74% | 2.1k | $8.4k (exactly $8,379) | Jpegsama | |
| | Slendrina Remake | $3.99 | 65 63% | 2.0k | $7.8k (exactly $7,780) | GearMech |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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