Should I ship a War MOBA?
MOBA + War
Only 9 developers shipped a paid War MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wild Assault, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 26 more are announced, ×8.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $180 against a market of $1.3k. 26 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $180 (exactly $180) |
| Top 25% | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 5% | $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 56 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 57%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 67% positive over 129,749 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
FOR HONOR™ 2017 · $98M 
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III 2017 · $17M 
Wild Assault 2026 · $1.7M 
Demigod 2011 · $303k 
AXYOS 2018 · $244k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | FOR HONOR™ | older | $29.99 | 108,492 69% | 3.3M | $98M (exactly $97,610,252) | Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Toronto, Blue Byte) |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III | older | $39.99 | 14,436 50% | 433k | $17M (exactly $17,318,869) | Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux)) |
| | Wild Assault | $14.99 | 3,861 68% | 116k | $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292) | Combat Cat Studio | |
| | Demigod | older | $9.99 | 1,011 75% | 30k | $303k (exactly $302,997) | Gas Powered Games |
| | AXYOS | older | $4.99 | 1,629 52% | 49k | $244k (exactly $243,861) | Axyos Games |
 | VOIDCRISIS | older | $29.99 | 122 54% | 3.7k | $110k (exactly $109,763) | HEXADRIVE Inc. |
 | VOLTED | older | $4.99 | 151 85% | 4.5k | $23k (exactly $22,605) | Betterburg |
 | Sky Hunter | older | $10.99 | 34 35% | 1.0k | $11k (exactly $11,210) | Codex7 |
 | SKYRAID | · EA older | $19.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $6.0k (exactly $5,997) | Zaidos Games |
 | Hunting fields of Jackals | · EA older | $17.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $1.6k (exactly $1,619) | squatnine |
 | Cosmic Order Fleet | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | DotSpark Studio | |
 | War to the Core | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Forgotten Mines |
 | Blitz Society | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Ryan Evans | |
 | poo poo war | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | 张程 | |
 | GGO 枪战火线 | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | 布工作室, Cloth Studio | |
 | Falcon 2023（猎鹰2023） | $3.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | 独立游戏Sun_Official | |
 | HideSeekBattle | $1.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | GuXian | |
 | Ancient Chinese Grand Strategy | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 戴军君 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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