Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics MOBA?

MOBA + Turn-Based Tactics

Only 8 developers shipped a paid Turn-Based Tactics MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Teamfight Manager 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 23 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $1.3k. 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 23 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MOBA + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $100k (exactly $99,697)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 37
Announced 23
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 49%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 63% positive over 3,180 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $99k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Teamfight Manager 2 · EA $19.99 2,251 60% 68k $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) Team Samoyed
富甲天下4 older $9.99 385 73% 12k $115k (exactly $115,384) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Pennon and Battle $18.99 175 69% 5.3k $100k (exactly $99,697) PB Studio
The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn older $19.99 158 77% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Dragon Wing Studio
富甲天下W older $7.99 101 42% 3.0k $24k (exactly $24,210) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Bestiary of Sigillum older $7.99 68 91% 2.0k $16k (exactly $16,300) Intaglyph
Predictors older $9.99 31 80% 930 $9.3k (exactly $9,291) Challenging Games
Rage of Mechs · EA older $9.99 8 50% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Custom Software Development Limited
Crazy Ludo · EA older $13.99 1 0% 30 $420 (exactly $420) lanqing game
奇妙大富翁(Wonderful Richman) $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) 海棠果工作室
Huiyu Spy Draw $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Huiyu
Fengshui Chess $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 吴小白
Fatebound Cards: Sundering Cities $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Lone Cuihua
Final battle in zhifudao $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JIANGFENG
Mech Brawl $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) P1P2 Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.