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Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics MOBA?
MOBA + Turn-Based Tactics
Only 8 developers shipped a paid Turn-Based Tactics MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Teamfight Manager 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 23 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $1.3k. 23 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $120 (exactly $120) |
| Top 25% | $100k (exactly $99,697) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 49%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- MOBA
- effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
- Turn-Based Tactics
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA, Turn-Based Tactics
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 63% positive over 3,180 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Teamfight Manager 2 | · EA | $19.99 | 2,251 60% | 68k | $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) | Team Samoyed |
| | 富甲天下4 | older | $9.99 | 385 73% | 12k | $115k (exactly $115,384) | T-Time Technology CO., LTD. |
| | Pennon and Battle | $18.99 | 175 69% | 5.3k | $100k (exactly $99,697) | PB Studio | |
| | The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn | older | $19.99 | 158 77% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Dragon Wing Studio |
| | 富甲天下W | older | $7.99 | 101 42% | 3.0k | $24k (exactly $24,210) | T-Time Technology CO., LTD. |
| | Bestiary of Sigillum | older | $7.99 | 68 91% | 2.0k | $16k (exactly $16,300) | Intaglyph |
| | Predictors | older | $9.99 | 31 80% | 930 | $9.3k (exactly $9,291) | Challenging Games |
| | Rage of Mechs | · EA older | $9.99 | 8 50% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Custom Software Development Limited |
| | Crazy Ludo | · EA older | $13.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $420 (exactly $420) | lanqing game |
| | 奇妙大富翁(Wonderful Richman) | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | 海棠果工作室 | |
| | Huiyu Spy Draw | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | Huiyu | |
| | Fengshui Chess | $8.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 吴小白 | |
| | Fatebound Cards: Sundering Cities | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Lone Cuihua | |
| | Final battle in zhifudao | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | JIANGFENG | |
| | Mech Brawl | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | P1P2 Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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