Do I ship it?

Games › MOBA › MOBA + Turn-Based Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Strategy MOBA?

MOBA + Turn-Based Strategy

Only 11 developers shipped a Turn-Based Strategy MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pennon and Battle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Turn-Based Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MOBA + Turn-Based Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $598 (exactly $598)
Top 5% $100k (exactly $99,697)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 31
Announced 15
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 32%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 4 games average 70% positive over 194 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $99k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

富甲天下4 2023 · $115k Pennon and Battle 2025 · $100k The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn 2017 · $95k 富甲天下W 2023 · $24k Tower of Origin2-Worm's Nest 2021 · $21k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
富甲天下4 older $9.99 385 73% 12k $115k (exactly $115,384) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Pennon and Battle $18.99 175 69% 5.3k $100k (exactly $99,697) PB Studio
The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn older $19.99 158 77% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Dragon Wing Studio
富甲天下W older $7.99 101 42% 3.0k $24k (exactly $24,210) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Tower of Origin2-Worm's Nest older $13.99 49 67% 1.5k $21k (exactly $20,565) Villain Role
Predictors older $9.99 31 80% 930 $9.3k (exactly $9,291) Challenging Games
Luna & Sol: Nightmare Ward $7.99 13 76% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) PLAY Mephistowaltz
Rage of Mechs · EA older $9.99 8 50% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Custom Software Development Limited
The Last Bug $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) 苦柚Games
Crazy Ludo · EA older $13.99 1 0% 30 $420 (exactly $420) lanqing game
Mathematician $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) pengjianNiu
Steal It $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LuQ Studios
Fengshui Chess $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 吴小白
Fatebound Cards: Sundering Cities $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Lone Cuihua
Throne of Capital $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) bulanke
Final battle in zhifudao $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JIANGFENG
Echoes Of Formation $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Nanjing Shangxiangyujiu Network Technol… (Nanjing Shangxiangyujiu Network Technology Co., Ltd.)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.