Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter MOBA?

MOBA + Top-Down Shooter

Only 11 developers shipped a paid Top-Down Shooter MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The AC130 slays the zombies., made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $31k → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for MOBA + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,897)
Top 5% $45k (exactly $45,127)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 40
Announced 17
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 48%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 67% positive over 492 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $45k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The AC130 slays the zombies. $3.99 377 63% 11k $45k (exactly $45,127) 汪双羽
Girl Frame $14.99 69 68% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Meow Run, Cat Shine
Battle Craft older $17.99 16 81% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Yaremchuk
SKYRAID · EA older $19.99 10 100% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Zaidos Games
Enemy Inside · EA $12.99 10 100% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Six Ways Games
Sphere Shootout $4.99 20 100% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Sphere49
Harpoon Arena $5.99 10 90% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) FairGoose
Roguenarok older $4.99 7 71% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Fishbump Games
Append older $4.95 3 100% 90 $446 (exactly $446) FreezeLance AB
Dungeonite older $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Pants Robot LLC
星宇战舰 Astral-Battlecraft $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Jilin Code Rabbit Network Game Co.,Ltd.
FastMoBa $2.50 3 100% 90 $225 (exactly $225) Nguyen Thanh Chinh
Droned $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Stonegauge Studios
Ex★Termi $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ABCwan
Final battle in zhifudao $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JIANGFENG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.