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Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter MOBA?
MOBA + Top-Down Shooter
Only 11 developers shipped a paid Top-Down Shooter MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The AC130 slays the zombies., made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $299 (exactly $299) |
| Top 25% | $3.9k (exactly $3,897) |
| Top 5% | $45k (exactly $45,127) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 48%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- MOBA
- effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
- Top-Down Shooter
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA, Top-Down Shooter
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 67% positive over 492 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The AC130 slays the zombies. | $3.99 | 377 63% | 11k | $45k (exactly $45,127) | 汪双羽 | |
| | Girl Frame | $14.99 | 69 68% | 2.1k | $31k (exactly $31,029) | Meow Run, Cat Shine | |
| | Battle Craft | older | $17.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $8.6k (exactly $8,635) | Yaremchuk |
| | SKYRAID | · EA older | $19.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $6.0k (exactly $5,997) | Zaidos Games |
| | Enemy Inside | · EA | $12.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.9k (exactly $3,897) | Six Ways Games |
| | Sphere Shootout | $4.99 | 20 100% | 600 | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) | Sphere49 | |
| | Harpoon Arena | $5.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | FairGoose | |
| | Roguenarok | older | $4.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Fishbump Games |
| | Append | older | $4.95 | 3 100% | 90 | $446 (exactly $446) | FreezeLance AB |
| | Dungeonite | older | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Pants Robot LLC |
| | 星宇战舰 Astral-Battlecraft | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Jilin Code Rabbit Network Game Co.,Ltd. | |
| | FastMoBa | $2.50 | 3 100% | 90 | $225 (exactly $225) | Nguyen Thanh Chinh | |
| | Droned | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Stonegauge Studios | |
| | Ex★Termi | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | ABCwan | |
| | Final battle in zhifudao | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | JIANGFENG |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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