Should I ship a Sports MOBA?
MOBA + Sports
Only 6 developers shipped a Sports MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Teamfight Manager 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $450 against a market of $1.3k. 24 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $479 (exactly $479) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 45 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 36%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA, Sports
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 67% positive over 4,057 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
Teamfight Manager 2 2026 · EA · $1.3M 
Esports Life Tycoon 2020 · $363k 
Monday Night Combat 2011 · $137k 
Bloodsports.TV 2015 · $76k 
Judgeball: Lethal Arena - Early Access 2023 · EA · $1.8k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Teamfight Manager 2 | · EA | $19.99 | 2,251 60% | 68k | $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) | Team Samoyed |
| | Esports Life Tycoon | older | $19.99 | 605 61% | 18k | $363k (exactly $362,818) | UPLAY Online |
| | Monday Night Combat | older | $4.99 | 912 81% | 27k | $137k (exactly $136,526) | Uber Entertainment |
| | Bloodsports.TV | older | $9.99 | 255 83% | 7.7k | $76k (exactly $76,424) | Toadman Interactive, Fatshark |
| | Judgeball: Lethal Arena - Early Access | · EA older | $14.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Wild Bishop |
 | Ambulance Chauffeur Simulator 2 | older | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | · |
 | Yeah Wow Hey | older | $5.99 | 7 57% | 210 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | Electric Maverick Game |
 | ball heroes | · EA older | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Chengdu Haowanyou Technologies Co., Ltd |
 | Handgun Football | $3.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | )erek( | |
 | Girls Tennis League | older | $3.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | shaka chen |
 | Inkoid | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Spacecowboy | |
 | KOLOSS | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Breakpoint One, Simmation |
 | click frenzy | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | bulbafan | |
 | Final battle in zhifudao | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | JIANGFENG |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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