Should I ship a Space MOBA?
MOBA + Space
Only 7 developers shipped a Space MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Girl Frame, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 11 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $15,750) |
| Top 5% | $31k (exactly $31,029) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 13,306 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
Awesomenauts 2012 · $7.1M 
WARSHIFT 2016 · $193k 
VOIDCRISIS 2022 · $110k 
SPACECOM 2014 · $59k 
GoD Factory: Wingmen 2014 · $57k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Awesomenauts | older | $19.99 | 11,822 84% | 355k | $7.1M (exactly $7,089,653) | Ronimo Games |
| | WARSHIFT | older | $9.99 | 643 71% | 19k | $193k (exactly $192,707) | Cyril Megem |
| | VOIDCRISIS | older | $29.99 | 122 54% | 3.7k | $110k (exactly $109,763) | HEXADRIVE Inc. |
| | SPACECOM | older | $9.99 | 197 62% | 5.9k | $59k (exactly $59,041) | Flow Combine |
| | GoD Factory: Wingmen | older | $9.99 | 189 62% | 5.7k | $57k (exactly $56,643) | Nine Dots Studio |
 | Girl Frame | $14.99 | 69 68% | 2.1k | $31k (exactly $31,029) | Meow Run, Cat Shine | |
 | Alien Hallway | older | $4.99 | 122 72% | 3.7k | $18k (exactly $18,263) | Sigma Team Inc. |
 | FMTC | $7.00 | 75 78% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $15,750) | FMTC | |
 | NeverCOM | · EA | $4.99 | 49 95% | 1.5k | $7.3k (exactly $7,335) | Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co.… (Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co., Ltd) |
 | void LINK | · EA older | $9.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | Zentrifuge |
 | Inkoid | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Spacecowboy | |
 | Cosmic Order Fleet | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | DotSpark Studio | |
 | War to the Core | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Forgotten Mines |
 | 星宇战舰 Astral-Battlecraft | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Jilin Code Rabbit Network Game Co.,Ltd. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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