Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shooter MOBA?

MOBA + Shooter

Of 29 developers who shipped a Shooter MOBA in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 63 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 3480% on the market, 63 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $3.2k → $180 → $120 → $31k → $7.3k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for MOBA + Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,750)
Top 5% $137k (exactly $137,405)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 114
Announced 63
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3480% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 39%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, FPS
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 5,508 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo older $29.99 2,718 95% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,445,385) ωstar, Seikei Production
Gigantic: Rampage Edition older $19.99 3,795 65% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,275,862) Abstraction Games
Wild Assault $14.99 3,861 68% 116k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292) Combat Cat Studio
Secret Ponchos older $14.99 613 73% 18k $276k (exactly $275,666) Switchblade Monkeys Entertainment
AXYOS older $4.99 1,629 52% 49k $244k (exactly $243,861) Axyos Games
WAR RATS: The Rat em Up $11.99 382 95% 11k $137k (exactly $137,405) wootusart Industries
Monday Night Combat older $4.99 912 81% 27k $137k (exactly $136,526) Uber Entertainment
Goonya Monster older $19.99 185 76% 5.6k $111k (exactly $110,944) MUTAN
Taboos: Cracks older $1.99 1,609 80% 48k $96k (exactly $96,057) DSGame
Last Flag $4.99 576 73% 17k $86k (exactly $86,227) Night Street Games
STARVAULT VR $24.99 66 89% 2.0k $49k (exactly $49,480) Theia Games
The AC130 slays the zombies. $3.99 377 63% 11k $45k (exactly $45,127) 汪双羽
Girl Frame $14.99 69 68% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Meow Run, Cat Shine
Source Code $19.99 33 60% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) Blitzball.Inc
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
NeverCOM · EA $4.99 49 95% 1.5k $7.3k (exactly $7,335) Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co.… (Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co., Ltd)
Sphere Shootout $4.99 20 100% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Sphere49

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.