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Should I ship a Real Time Tactics MOBA?
MOBA + Real Time Tactics
Only 17 developers shipped a paid Real Time Tactics MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Teamfight Manager 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 58 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 58 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $299 (exactly $299) |
| Top 25% | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 71 |
| Announced | 58 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 375% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 49%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- MOBA
- effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
- Real Time Tactics
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA, Real Time Tactics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, PvP
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 61% positive over 2,419 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Teamfight Manager 2 | · EA | $19.99 | 2,251 60% | 68k | $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) | Team Samoyed |
| | Command & Conquer™ 4 Tiberian Twilight | older | $6.96 | 4,832 16% | 145k | $1.0M (exactly $1,008,922) | EA Los Angeles |
| | Demigod | older | $9.99 | 1,011 75% | 30k | $303k (exactly $302,997) | Gas Powered Games |
| | Sanguo's Ambition 4 :Three Kingdoms | $9.99 | 101 68% | 3.0k | $30k (exactly $30,270) | Youshen Interactive | |
| | Subsiege | older | $19.99 | 43 46% | 1.3k | $26k (exactly $25,787) | Icebird Studios |
| | 惊险极速 | · EA older | $6.99 | 91 97% | 2.7k | $19k (exactly $19,083) | 个人 |
| | Glassbreakers: Champions of Moss | $19.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | Polyarc | |
| | Battle Craft | older | $17.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $8.6k (exactly $8,635) | Yaremchuk |
| | Sentry:Obelisk Of Dawn | older | $19.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | Guangzhou NineD Digital Technology Co.,… (Guangzhou NineD Digital Technology Co.,Ltd) |
| | Luna & Sol: Nightmare Ward | $7.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) | PLAY Mephistowaltz | |
| | Battle Waves: Card Tactics | $5.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) | CAGE Studios | |
| | Landmark Battle | · EA | $6.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Poetic Games |
| | Cosmic Order Fleet | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | DotSpark Studio | |
| | War to the Core | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Forgotten Mines |
| | Blitz Society | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Ryan Evans | |
| | Bomber Festival | $0.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $238 (exactly $238) | kaze studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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