Should I ship a Physics MOBA?
MOBA + Physics
Only 9 developers shipped a Physics MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Harpoon Arena, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $230 in the last 2 years and $230 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 12 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $225 (exactly $225) |
| Top 25% | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 5% | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 185% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 32%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA, Physics
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,083 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
MageQuit 2019 · $464k 
Battle Craft 2023 · $8.6k 
Never BreakUp 2022 · $3.8k 
Harpoon Arena 2026 · $1.8k 
Train Trek 2026 · EA · $899 | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MageQuit | older | $14.99 | 1,032 94% | 31k | $464k (exactly $464,090) | Bowlcut Studios |
| | Battle Craft | older | $17.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $8.6k (exactly $8,635) | Yaremchuk |
| | Never BreakUp | older | $8.99 | 14 35% | 420 | $3.8k (exactly $3,776) | ISVR北京互联星梦科技有限公司 |
| | Harpoon Arena | $5.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | FairGoose | |
| | Train Trek | · EA | $14.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Aixceptional |
 | Fireworks-Bomb-GoodFriends | $5.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | MentalHospital | |
 | 两体 | · EA older | $5.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | 魔书科技 |
 | KOLOSS | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Breakpoint One, Simmation |
 | Rakuten | older | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | TheRealDan |
 | FastMoBa | $2.50 | 3 100% | 90 | $225 (exactly $225) | Nguyen Thanh Chinh | |
 | Bepe War | $5.00 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | BepeDev | |
 | Steal It | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | LuQ Studios | |
 | Archetypal Destroyer | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | WAWRO | |
 | Realm of Balls | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Shuihan Coding |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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