Do I ship it?

Games › MOBA › MOBA + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military MOBA?

MOBA + Military

Only 11 developers shipped a paid Military MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BidKing, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 20 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 18070% on the market, 20 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $299 → $59 → $1.7M (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for MOBA + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $30k (exactly $30,270)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 43
Announced 20
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 18070% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 51%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 38% positive over 26,314 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $300, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $1.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

BidKing 2026 · $2.0M Wild Assault 2026 · $1.7M AXYOS 2018 · $244k Sanguo's Ambition 4 :Three Kingdoms 2026 · $30k Source Code 2024 · $20k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BidKing $2.99 22,238 33% 667k $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) MindSurge Network & Games
Wild Assault $14.99 3,861 68% 116k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292) Combat Cat Studio
AXYOS older $4.99 1,629 52% 49k $244k (exactly $243,861) Axyos Games
Sanguo's Ambition 4 :Three Kingdoms $9.99 101 68% 3.0k $30k (exactly $30,270) Youshen Interactive
Source Code $19.99 33 60% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) Blitzball.Inc
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
Sky Hunter older $10.99 34 35% 1.0k $11k (exactly $11,210) Codex7
SKYRAID · EA older $19.99 10 100% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Zaidos Games
Bishojo Battlefield older $2.99 17 76% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Dog On God
Blitz Society $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Ryan Evans
Drone:Modern Warfare $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) AndyKwok008
Executioner $0.99 2 0% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Kane Entertainment
Squad Raid $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chen Jie
Final battle in zhifudao $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JIANGFENG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.