Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval MOBA?

MOBA + Medieval

Only 6 developers shipped a paid Medieval MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pennon and Battle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 32 more are announced, ×16 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $1.3k. 32 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 32 announced, ×16 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MOBA + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $119 (exactly $119)
Top 25% $300 (exactly $300)
Top 5% $100k (exactly $99,697)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 30
Announced 32
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 50%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 108,700 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $300, 1 in 20 over $99k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×16 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FOR HONOR™ older $29.99 108,492 69% 3.3M $98M (exactly $97,610,252) Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Toronto, Blue Byte)
Pennon and Battle $18.99 175 69% 5.3k $100k (exactly $99,697) PB Studio
Battle of Heroes 3 older $6.99 8 37% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Astafiev Egor
Roguenarok older $4.99 7 71% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Fishbump Games
Soulfire : Weapon Master · EA older $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) AyDream Co., Ltd.
ElementalsFight · EA older $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) OurLastSpring
Eternal War older $3.99 4 25% 120 $479 (exactly $479) MaGames
Danger and Deadlier older $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Dog On God
KOLOSS · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Breakpoint One, Simmation
HideSeekBattle $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) GuXian
War of Charge older $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) YLL
Dragon and Phoenix $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) pengjianNiu
信任崩塌(Trust collapse) $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) b站@把竹节虫当折耳根吃了
Echoes Of Formation $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Nanjing Shangxiangyujiu Network Technol… (Nanjing Shangxiangyujiu Network Technology Co., Ltd.)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.