Do I ship it?

Games › Survival Horror › Survival Horror + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Military

Of 21 developers who shipped a Military Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×2560 the market median. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 49 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 49 announced, ×5.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $2.1k → $29k → $8.2k → $1.4k → $6.9k
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,336)
Top 25% $40k (exactly $40,023)
Top 5% $1.6M (exactly $1,607,598)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 80
Announced 49
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 50% positive over 61,415 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $40k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Escape from Tarkov 2025 · $84M Six Days in Fallujah 2023 · EA · $16M Call of Duty®: Ghosts 2014 · $16M The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes 2021 · $6.6M Cepheus Protocol 2020 · EA · $1.8M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Escape from Tarkov $49.99 55,824 49% 1.7M $84M (exactly $83,719,253) Battlestate Games
Six Days in Fallujah · EA older $39.99 13,012 79% 390k $16M (exactly $15,610,496) Highwire Games
Call of Duty®: Ghosts older $39.99 12,976 66% 389k $16M (exactly $15,567,307) Infinity Ward
The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes older $29.99 7,360 89% 221k $6.6M (exactly $6,621,792) Supermassive Games
Cepheus Protocol · EA older $19.99 2,983 76% 89k $1.8M (exactly $1,788,905) Halcyon Winds
Alien: Rogue Incursion VR $39.99 1,340 70% 40k $1.6M (exactly $1,607,598) Survios
Level Zero: Extraction $19.99 2,446 50% 73k $1.5M (exactly $1,466,866) Doghowl Games
CONSCRIPT: Director’s Cut older $19.99 1,998 90% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,198,201) Jordan Mochi, Catchweight Studio
Alien: Rogue Incursion Evolved Edition $29.99 899 72% 27k $809k (exactly $808,830) Survios
Alisa older $17.99 1,358 89% 41k $733k (exactly $732,913) Casper Croes
Ultimate Zombie Defense 2 $9.99 589 76% 18k $177k (exactly $176,523) Terror Dog Studio
No Escape from Madness $11.99 197 60% 5.9k $71k (exactly $70,861) qiqin
Containment Initiative 2 $14.99 89 85% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Gwyn Games LLC
Escape From Infection Zone $39.99 6 100% 180 $7.2k (exactly $7,198) Funbang
Paracom $10.99 21 90% 630 $6.9k (exactly $6,924) Steel Widow Klan
Hunter Moonstrike : Ai NPCs version $15.99 4 0% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) 10nstudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.