Do I ship it?

GamesMedical SimMedical Sim + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Medical Sim?

Medical Sim + Science

Only 9 developers shipped a Science Medical Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Emergency Room Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.7k against a market of $480. 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 9.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 3540% on the market, 12 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Medical Sim + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Medical Sim + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Median $4.7k (exactly $4,676)
Top 25% $54k (exactly $53,514)
Top 5% $115k (exactly $115,454)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 27
Announced 12
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3540% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Medical Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Medical Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 742 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.7k, median $4.7k, 1 in 4 over $53k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Medical Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PuzzleFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  2. + SandboxPoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 25 announced
  3. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  4. + Point & ClickPoor odds22 devs · median $8.2k · 26 announced
  5. + Immersive SimPoor odds18 devs · median $6.0k · 53 announced
  6. + EconomyPoor odds14 devs · median $5.9k · 12 announced
  7. + Life SimPoor odds32 devs · median $4.5k · 42 announced
  8. + Choices MatterPoor odds33 devs · median $4.2k · 43 announced
  9. + Visual NovelPoor odds16 devs · median $4.2k · 14 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds20 devs · median $3.9k · 33 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds31 devs · median $3.8k · 49 announced
  12. + SimulationPoor odds73 devs · median $3.6k · 132 announced

All 20 pairs on the Medical Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Emergency Room Simulator $24.99 154 43% 4.6k $115k (exactly $115,454) Caipirinha Games
Pestis older $24.99 88 77% 2.6k $66k (exactly $65,974) DIEDEMOR STUDIO GAMES
SEX Hospital 💦 $9.99 189 69% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,643) Lust Desires 🖤
Orgasm Lab Simulator 💦🍌 $14.99 119 69% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) BanzaiProject
Dr. Chatelet: Faith 神医 · EA older $4.00 95 80% 2.9k $11k (exactly $11,400) MuccyGames
Pharma Craft $6.99 28 75% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) ZD Yazilim
Metavaxx older $5.99 29 86% 870 $5.2k (exactly $5,211) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
Gelluloid Domination $11.99 13 84% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Tractor Set GO!
Dilemma $5.99 21 95% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) DrAxelStudio
PT+ older $19.99 6 83% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Liam McMains
Propa. $7.99 11 54% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Contagio Games
Caduceus Quest $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Resilient Games Studio, LLC
MERIDIAN $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Alexander Kosenko

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.