Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Medical Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Medical Sim?

Choices Matter + Medical Sim

Of 33 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Medical Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×8.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×794 the market median. Revenue is up 90% on the market; 43 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 90% on the market, 43 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Medical Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $40k → $540k → $4.2k → $328k → $959 → $6.0k (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Medical Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,198)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,162)
Top 5% $377k (exactly $377,211)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 60
Announced 43
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Medical Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Medical Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Life Sim, Management
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 3,827 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 6 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
War Hospital older $29.99 1,006 60% 30k $905k (exactly $905,098) Brave Lamb Studio S.A.
Accident older $14.99 1,462 76% 44k $657k (exactly $657,461) Duality Games, Spirit Games Studio
Mind Scanners older $16.99 1,095 78% 33k $558k (exactly $558,122) The Outer Zone
Galacticare older $29.99 600 85% 18k $540k (exactly $539,820) Brightrock Games
Do No Harm $15.99 896 74% 27k $430k (exactly $429,811) Darts Games
Potion Tycoon $19.99 629 71% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Snowhound Games
BM General Hospital $7.99 1,368 86% 41k $328k (exactly $327,910) zzzgame
Revenge Of The Colon older $12.99 366 84% 11k $143k (exactly $142,630) Lilou Studio
Emergency Room Simulator $24.99 154 43% 4.6k $115k (exactly $115,454) Caipirinha Games
Oyabu Clinic Deathcare Corporation older $14.99 213 93% 6.4k $96k (exactly $95,786) Flying Panjandrum / ふらいんぐパンジャンドラム
Sanatorium - A Mental Asylum Simulator $12.99 208 59% 6.2k $81k (exactly $81,058) Zeitglas
SEX Hospital 💦 $9.99 189 69% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,643) Lust Desires 🖤
Orgasm Lab Simulator 💦🍌 $14.99 119 69% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) BanzaiProject
Prescribe and Pray $11.99 71 70% 2.1k $26k (exactly $25,539) Nuclear Rabbits
Doctor Life Simulator $4.99 128 62% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,162) Bleeding Edge Studio, Blackburne Games… (Bleeding Edge Studio, Blackburne Games Studio FZ LLC)
Wound Man $8.99 65 93% 2.0k $18k (exactly $17,530) Aspidochelone Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.