Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Medical Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medical Sim Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Medical Sim

Only 18 developers shipped a Medical Sim Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ambulance Life: A Paramedic Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.0k, ×4.0 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $890k, ×596 the market median. Revenue is up 1040% on the market; 53 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 1040% on the market, 53 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Medical Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $899 → $6.1k (still earning) → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Medical Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $6.0k (exactly $5,995)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,292)
Top 5% $893k (exactly $893,402)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 47
Announced 53
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1040% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Medical Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Medical Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Life Sim, Simulation, Management
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 2,441 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $6.0k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $890k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
112 Operator older $24.99 5,688 88% 171k $4.3M (exactly $4,264,294) Jutsu Games
Ambulance Life: A Paramedic Simulator $29.99 993 50% 30k $893k (exactly $893,402) Aesir Interactive
Weed Shop 2 older $9.99 845 86% 25k $253k (exactly $253,246) ADhD Studios
CURE - A Hospital Simulator · EA $9.99 830 86% 25k $249k (exactly $248,751) Sentinel Games
Traditional Chinese Medicine Simulator · EA older $14.99 304 96% 9.1k $137k (exactly $136,709) 曲波
Real Feel $19.99 170 64% 5.1k $102k (exactly $101,949) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Rec Center Tycoon - Management Simulator · EA older $11.99 260 73% 7.8k $94k (exactly $93,522) Jarrod Brown
Pharmacy Simulator · EA older $9.99 244 57% 7.3k $73k (exactly $73,127) Altai Entertainment
SEX Hospital 💦 $9.99 189 69% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,643) Lust Desires 🖤
Big Bad Pharma $6.99 92 84% 2.8k $19k (exactly $19,292) Middlewood Studio
Pharmacy Store Simulator $8.99 60 68% 1.8k $16k (exactly $16,182) Art Games Studio S.A.
Dead 4 Now: Bio-Weapon Simulator $14.99 29 75% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) d'Evo
Symptoms of Infection · EA $3.50 58 89% 1.7k $6.1k (exactly $6,090) ORB Research & Broadcasting
FORENSIC - M.E. Protocol $12.49 16 62% 480 $6.0k (exactly $5,995) k148 Game Studio
Pompiers Simulator · EA $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Vincent Tartar

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.